Georgia Democrats believe they can win in 2016

[Mutiny77]

After months of a slim Trump lead in the state, two recent polls show Clinton ahead. The latest, a JMC Enterprises poll of likely voters, shows Clinton up by a remarkable 7 percentage points. Although JMC has a “C” rating in FiveThirtyEight’s pollster rankings, FiveThirtyEight’s own polls-only forecasting model suggests that a Clinton lead in Georgia could very well be real; it currently gives her a 52.7 percent chance of winning the state.

Clinton likely owes much of her current standing in the state’s polls to a highly successful convention and a highly damaging couple of weeks for Donald Trump. But there’s also reason to believe that deep changes in Georgia’s demographics are boosting her support and could turn Georgia purple soon, if not this November.

Why Georgia is looking peachy for Hillary Clinton.

[cdw1084]

If She wins GA, they can call the election. In fact as of right now, the only two battleground states are GA and AZ, the rest is pretty much determined per Nate Silver...

[bUU]

The most telling graph is "The winding path to 270 electoral votes." It puts the states in order of how strongly they're leading one way versus the other, thereby providing a line beyond which additional states are effectively "gravy". Georgia (along with NE 2nd) are the graviest of gravy at this point. What I find intriguing is that, at this point in time, it looks like Clinton wouldn't need to worry about even Florida, much less Ohio or North Carolina. While, like Georgia, Clinton would like to win those states, it wouldn't be necessary.

Having said that, I still cannot bring myself to trust polls, even slightly, before Labor Day.

[Mutiny77]

Originally Posted by bUU

The most telling graph is "The winding path to 270 electoral votes." It puts the states in order of how strongly they're leading one way versus the other, thereby providing a line beyond which additional states are effectively "gravy". Georgia (along with NE 2nd) are the graviest of gravy at this point. What I find intriguing is that, at this point in time, it looks like Clinton wouldn't need to worry about even Florida, much less Ohio or North Carolina. While, like Georgia, Clinton would like to win those states, it wouldn't be necessary.

Having said that, I still cannot bring myself to trust polls, even slightly, before Labor Day.

Yeah, so much can change between now and November, but it's very interesting to see these polls at this point. One thing is for sure, this won't be a repeat of 2014, even if Trump winds up carrying the state.