Gubernatorial Race 2018 (firms, builder, garbage)

[AnsleyPark]

I’m a Dawgacrat. Go Dawgs!

[Iconographer]

Originally Posted by AnsleyPark

I’m a Dawgacrat. Go Dawgs!

Vince Dooley 2018!

[-thomass]

Weird that we aren’t getting polls for this race

[aries4118]

The Future for Democrats
https://www.rollingstone.com/politic...ocrats-701308/

[bryantm3]

only 2 back in july i think.


https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...taWubyf6y0GOiI

[CaliDreaming01]

Originally Posted by -thomass

Weird that we aren’t getting polls for this race

I was thinking the same thing. It seems there were more in past gubernatorial elections. Or maybe it's just that didn't care as much about the outcome of those. This election, I am looking out for news and tea leaves on a daily basis.


So far the race seems to be very predictable. No real bombshells. No huge gaffes.

[atltechdude]

AJC has a new poll.

Tied at 45 each.

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regi...fnxiL/amp.html

[CaliDreaming01]

Originally Posted by atltechdude

AJC has a new poll.

Tied at 45 each.

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regi...fnxiL/amp.html

Fascinating poll.

Here's a link to the crosstabs for the poll. https://s3.amazonaws.com/ajc-isabeta...ll+Results.pdf

There are many good signs in this poll for Abrams. Kemp's unfavorable ratings are higher in general than for Abrams. The attacks on her being too liberal and the debt shaming are not resonating with voters.

She has higher favorability among voters who identify as independents than Kemp--48.7 versus 30.7. She is not doing too badly among conservative-leaning moderates either. Kemp's unfavorable rating among conservative-leaning moderates is actually higher than Abrams'.

Also, Georgia Republicans need to find some way to keep Trump out of this race. They literally need to lock him away until after the election. Among conservative leaning moderates, only 16% said Trump's support made them more likely to vote for a candidate, versus nearly 32% that said it made them less likely to support a candidate. I don't even have to type what the results were for voters who were less conservative.

[BELMO45]

I just don’t buy Abrams having any shot. Georgia polls historically the last 2-6 years have badly overestimated the Democrat’s numbers and we’ve seen nationwide polls show a lean in that direction too. I don’t need to mention who they were way off on. I’m more believing Gillum has a decent shot in FLA but here I think the turnout in ATL has to be massive for Abrams to pull it off.

[stoxdiamond]

Originally Posted by CaliDreaming01

Fascinating poll.

Here's a link to the crosstabs for the poll. https://s3.amazonaws.com/ajc-isabeta...ll+Results.pdf

There are many good signs in this poll for Abrams. Kemp's unfavorable ratings are higher in general than for Abrams. The attacks on her being too liberal and the debt shaming are not resonating with voters.

She has higher favorability among voters who identify as independents than Kemp--48.7 versus 30.7. She is not doing too badly among conservative-leaning moderates either. Kemp's unfavorable rating among conservative-leaning moderates is actually higher than Abrams'.

Also, Georgia Republicans need to find some way to keep Trump out of this race. They literally need to lock him away until after the election. Among conservative leaning moderates, only 16% said Trump's support made them more likely to vote for a candidate, versus nearly 32% that said it made them less likely to support a candidate. I don't even have to type what the results were for voters who were less conservative.

How trustworthy are these polls, everyone polled Hillary to have a landslide victory and we saw what happened. I'll believe it when I see it. Flip 30 pages back in this thread and we were talking about how Abrams would need a miracle to have the turnout to beat Kemp based on demographics.

I still cannot see conservative moderates voting for Abrams, at best they will stay home, but conservatives don't abstain from the polls.