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Covid 19 cases continue to increase, very steeply in some states but the average number of daily deaths has been on a steady decline over the past month. This may mean the number of new cases may be entirely due to widespread testing or there really could be some regional spikes in places that weren't hard hit in spring. Even if these new spikes are regional, none of the regions are even CLOSE to hitting what New York and the northeast dealt with in March and April (the northeast is the only region that has actually been seeing a steady decline in the number of diagnosed cases). I know they say you need 70 percent of the population to get Covid to reach herd immunity but what if only maybe a third of the population is susceptible to getting it even if exposed in large doses. In that case, maybe the fact that, based on antibodies tests, that 20 percent of the NYC population has had it may mean they might have already reached herd immunity meaning the cases there will continue to decline no matter what.
Most places are already open but some with more restrictions than others. Do you think that at this point, herd immunity is the only option left or should we try to close down or put restrictions in areas that have steep spikes in cases?
Aren't there 5 mutated variations of COVID already? If so, the thought of mutations within the 5 different varients could cause an even worse second pandemic. Even though it may sound trivial at this point, it's still best to prevent spreading the disease (especially for those already immunocompromised).
Wearing a mask doesn't prevent transmission, but it does drastically reduce the likelihood of it.
But, I like your idea of quarantining especially the communities with recent steep spikes.
Antibodies test have been declared unreliable, and it also has been declared that nobody knows whether immunity to COVID-19 would last long enough to lead to practical herd immunity. Even if it did, it might be negated on a public health level from too many people being damaged by the virus.
Therefore, reimpose restrictions as needed so that the spread is very slow, for a vaccine likely is coming.
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