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Old 02-24-2010, 04:21 PM
 
Location: South Jordan, Utah
8,182 posts, read 9,211,043 times
Reputation: 3632

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boompa View Post
Let's worry about the rich who have tripled their wealth in a decade and are walking off with 40% of the economy. When we correct that we can look at the poor
Do you have any numbers to back that up?
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Old 02-24-2010, 04:24 PM
 
3,650 posts, read 9,211,281 times
Reputation: 2787
Thx, but the net effect/point is, people getting SS are not getting "freebies." Appreciate the clarifications though. Although I had heard that SS was "good" up through 2040something and even then people would still get something like 70% of what they would've expected, w/zero paybacks kicking in a good bit later. Can't say offhand for sure though.
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Old 02-24-2010, 04:30 PM
 
596 posts, read 889,704 times
Reputation: 1090
Quote:
Originally Posted by hilgi View Post
Joey,

Just a few points here. Up until the last few years most people received much more from SS than they put in. People who retired in the 1980's received everything back in just a few years.

The term SS going bankrupt is not appropriate so it is never projected to go "bankrupt" what it is on track to do is payout more than it receives. The mythical "Trust Fund" is due to be depleted at current median projections in 2037. According to the trustees the median date when we would need to draw on the trust funds was 2017. As of last year we actually took in less than we paid out, so while they technically did not draw from the trust fund, they drew from the interest the IOU’s were earning. So we paid some SS out of the general fund. This is 7 years early. If you look at the trust fund projections you will see that they never accounted for the possibility of unemployment going above 7% in the next 75 years, GDP would never go below 2% and their immigration models did not account for a reduction in immigration as we have seen. Either way the trust fund is nothing more than an accounting trick, it is an obligation of the on-budget government, or you and I.

Bottom line, it is a government payout, not a return of you principal.
More than anything, they did not count of abortion depleting the population as it has. Our population has become an upside down pyramind with the retired people at the top. This is the opposite of what they thought it would ALWAYS be, the majority of the population being wage-earners. Medical science resulting in longer lifespans contributes to this as well.
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Old 02-24-2010, 04:44 PM
 
Location: South Jordan, Utah
8,182 posts, read 9,211,043 times
Reputation: 3632
Quote:
Originally Posted by SactoBankerGirl View Post
More than anything, they did not count of abortion depleting the population as it has. Our population has become an upside down pyramind with the retired people at the top. This is the opposite of what they thought it would ALWAYS be, the majority of the population being wage-earners. Medical science resulting in longer lifespans contributes to this as well.
True but the projections I am talking about were done in 2007 or so.

Check this out. Page 28 shows the worst case they every project is a 7% unemployment. The dates they always report are based off the median line.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/68xx/doc6...MonteCarlo.pdf
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Old 02-24-2010, 04:50 PM
 
Location: South Jordan, Utah
8,182 posts, read 9,211,043 times
Reputation: 3632
Quote:
Originally Posted by joey2000 View Post
Thx, but the net effect/point is, people getting SS are not getting "freebies." Appreciate the clarifications though. Although I had heard that SS was "good" up through 2040something and even then people would still get something like 70% of what they would've expected, w/zero paybacks kicking in a good bit later. Can't say offhand for sure though.
In a way it is a freebie. You pay tax to fund the current retirees, then if you live and if there are enough people to pay for you, money will come to you.

If it were saved in a separate account with your name, it would not be a freebie. As it is in reality, it is a hope of future welfare on the back of the workers of the future.
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Old 02-24-2010, 05:03 PM
 
596 posts, read 889,704 times
Reputation: 1090
Quote:
Originally Posted by hilgi View Post
True but the projections I am talking about were done in 2007 or so.

Check this out. Page 28 shows the worst case they every project is a 7% unemployment. The dates they always report are based off the median line.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/68xx/doc6...MonteCarlo.pdf
Interesting, thanks!
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Old 02-24-2010, 05:46 PM
 
11,411 posts, read 7,803,058 times
Reputation: 21923
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boompa View Post
Let's worry about the rich who have tripled their wealth in a decade and are walking off with 40% of the economy. When we correct that we can look at the poor
What a capital idea! Yes, let's demonize the rich instead of the poor!

Clearly you'll agree with that idea. You seem to think no one in this country has gotten "rich" by hard work. They're all just spoiled trust fund babies. Sure some are, but the vast majority of the "rich" have worked for every dime.
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Old 02-24-2010, 05:50 PM
 
Location: Washington DC
79 posts, read 76,606 times
Reputation: 85
Quote:
Originally Posted by UNC4Me View Post
What a capital idea! Yes, let's demonize the rich instead of the poor!

Clearly you'll agree with that idea. You seem to think no one in this country has gotten "rich" by hard work. They're all just spoiled trust fund babies. Sure some are, but the vast majority of the "rich" have worked for every dime.
Let's all try to think outside the box here; any form of demonization based on ill informed judgments and sweeping generalizations is wrong (including demonizing the rich). Why can't people just live and let live, without passing judgment on millions of people whom they do not know or understand?
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Old 02-24-2010, 05:54 PM
 
11,411 posts, read 7,803,058 times
Reputation: 21923
Quote:
Originally Posted by celtic109 View Post
Let's all try to think outside the box here; any form of demonization based on ill informed judgments and sweeping generalizations is wrong (including demonizing the rich). Why can't people just live and let live, without passing judgment on millions of people whom they do not know or understand?
I heartily agree. My above post was obviously tongue in cheek!
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Old 02-24-2010, 08:52 PM
 
3,650 posts, read 9,211,281 times
Reputation: 2787
Quote:
Originally Posted by hilgi View Post
In a way it is a freebie. You pay tax to fund the current retirees,
...which is precisely why it's not a freebie.


Quote:
Originally Posted by celtic109 View Post
Let's all try to think outside the box here; any form of demonization based on ill informed judgments and sweeping generalizations is wrong (including demonizing the rich). Why can't people just live and let live, without passing judgment on millions of people whom they do not know or understand?
Well that's no fun.
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