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Lets also keep in mind that only the most severely sick are getting tested, skewing the mortality numbers. I'm guessing that the % is much lower than reported if you include the people that have no idea they had the corona. It will go down to flu levels once a vaccine is created.
Yes, this ^^^ is true. I just saw numbers out of South Korea which tested everyone with a sniffle and the percent of people who died, out of confirmed cases, was 0.7%.
South Korea also said their rate of new cases is slowing down and they believe they have passed the peak. Same with the Chinese. So it is certainly seems possible to win this battle.
I also believe we will see more cases on all the islands and probably some deaths too. But it will pass.
Hard to say at this time because this Corona is, as they say, novel.
But, last I saw the calculated R0 number , which is a value assigned that shows infection potential, is higher for Coronavirus. Somewhere between 2 and 3. That is, every one person who acquires is likely to pass on to 2 people or more.
I just saw that as well, 2.2 for Corona versus 1.3 for flu - although they point out the flu shot keeps the R0 much lower for flu.
Saw on the news again today - more people are weighing in there is a decent chance warm weather will help contain this and in theory, if it manifests itself again (like the deadly Spanish flu did, seasonal across a few winters) there should be a vaccine finally ready.
I'm starting to get tired of 2,000 point Dow stock drops.
I do find it crazy with all the technology we have, supercomputers, etc - that it will take so long to develop a vaccine.
I just saw that as well, 2.2 for Corona versus 1.3 for flu - although they point out the flu shot keeps the R0 much lower for flu.
Saw on the news again today - more people are weighing in there is a decent chance warm weather will help contain this and in theory, if it manifests itself again (like the deadly Spanish flu did, seasonal across a few winters) there should be a vaccine finally ready.
I'm starting to get tired of 2,000 point Dow stock drops.
I do find it crazy with all the technology we have, supercomputers, etc - that it will take so long to develop a vaccine.
With the warm weather I sure hope so. That would bode well for Hawaii. Looking at the US map of cases, some of the coldest weather states don't have it yet such as Montana, ND and Alaska.
Gates Foundation has been putting a lot of money into vaccine research for the past couple years. Maybe too late for this outbreak though.
With the warm weather I sure hope so. That would bode well for Hawaii. Looking at the US map of cases, some of the coldest weather states don't have it yet such as Montana, ND and Alaska.
With the warm weather I sure hope so. That would bode well for Hawaii. Looking at the US map of cases, some of the coldest weather states don't have it yet such as Montana, ND and Alaska.
Gates Foundation has been putting a lot of money into vaccine research for the past couple years. Maybe too late for this outbreak though.
I'd imagine that this is because fewer people travel (and fewer people live) to those states vs. other states in the US. And I'd also imagine that the extreme cold is also not conducive to the virus spreading aggressively
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