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Our state has a site with all the latest number of tests, positive and negative, hospitalizations, interactive maps. There is always a number given "per 10,000 people." Right now my zip code has 327 infections per every 10,000 people. What should the number per 10,000 people be? I don't think 327 is supposed to be good, but I don't know how to interpret the information.
Our state has a site with all the latest number of tests, positive and negative, hospitalizations, interactive maps. There is always a number given "per 10,000 people." Right now my zip code has 327 infections per every 10,000 people. What should the number per 10,000 people be? I don't think 327 is supposed to be good, but I don't know how to interpret the information.
Is this cases per 10,000 per week, per 14 days, per month, or what?
If the rate of COVID-19 is 327 per 10,000 cumulative, then it doesn't tell you much about the current risk level of someone in your area.
Is this cases per 10,000 per week, per 14 days, per month, or what?
If the rate of COVID-19 is 327 per 10,000 cumulative, then it doesn't tell you much about the current risk level of someone in your area.
This is the official definition:
Primary criteria for destinations with populations over 200,000 =
Incidence rate (cumulative new cases per 100,000 people over the past 28 days)
Anything more than 100 per 10,000 is considered "very high".
This is the official definition:
Primary criteria for destinations with populations over 200,000 =
Incidence rate (cumulative new cases per 100,000 people over the past 28 days)
Anything more than 100 per 10,000 is considered "very high".
My state's site gives cumulative cases to date with the number per 10,000 below it with no explanation. However, they have an interactive zip code map and if I check the week's numbers for my zip code, they give 219 per 10,000. For the last week. There are a few areas showing over 400 for the last WEEK. There's a great push for testing here; it's very available and completely free, so the harder you look, the more likely you'll find what you're looking for, but still the numbers seem quite high and we're not in one of the country's worst areas.
Our state has a site with all the latest number of tests, positive and negative, hospitalizations, interactive maps. There is always a number given "per 10,000 people." Right now my zip code has 327 infections per every 10,000 people. What should the number per 10,000 people be? I don't think 327 is supposed to be good, but I don't know how to interpret the information.
.
You need to get the total number of confirmed cases and divide by the total population. That is your odds of getting infected since the start of record-keeping (probably 8 months). If you divide by the number of weeks for the period of observation, you get your likely chance of being infected during the week. It's 2.44 percent over 8 months here, but only 0.07 percent in any given week.
The more accurate method is to get the counts for the current wave. The odds are now 0.24 percent for any given week and likely to accelerate. If this wave runs through the winter, the probability of getting infected is 4 percent for the rest of the wave.
This is the official definition:
Primary criteria for destinations with populations over 200,000 =
Incidence rate (cumulative new cases per 100,000 people over the past 28 days)
Anything more than 100 per 10,000 is considered "very high".
327 per 10,000 in 28 days, that is alarmingly high! 1 out of every 30 people would be infected in a month! It should be near Wuhan-style at this point. Don't leave your house unless you have a medical emergency.
Our state has a site with all the latest number of tests, positive and negative, hospitalizations, interactive maps. There is always a number given "per 10,000 people." Right now my zip code has 327 infections per every 10,000 people. What should the number per 10,000 people be? I don't think 327 is supposed to be good, but I don't know how to interpret the information.
Are you going to do anything differently if someone says that's a "good" number or that's a "bad" number? If not, then why concern yourself? A statistic is a statistic. What a person makes of the numbers is up to them.
Here's some additional info for you. Just today, I read that the CDC estimated that for every confirmed case of Covid-19 in the US, that the ACTUAL number of cases is 8 times that amount. In other words, 7 out of every 8 Covid infections have not been confirmed. If correct, this means that the US has had about 104 MILLION cases of Covid instead of just the 13 million that have been confirmed. That's almost 1/3 the total population of the US that have contracted Covid.
Now, does this additional information make you feel better or worse? It all depends on how you look at it. I look at this latest information as a good sign because it means that out of all the people in the US who have contracted Covid, only about one-quarter of 1% have died from the virus. Or, put another way, out of every 400 people who have contracted the virus, 399 of them did not die from the virus. Sounds pretty encouraging to me. I like those odds.
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