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Old 09-26-2014, 12:50 PM
 
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Now that we are firmly in the 21st century, while there still are lots of wars/battles going around, do you think that, overall, the 21st century will end up being the least bloodiest century since the beginning of recorded history? Or do you think we'll have a WWIII or something close? Or could this be a relatively peaceful century?
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Old 09-26-2014, 01:39 PM
 
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It depends. Based off history, there's always been some cataclysmic event that changed the course of the world once or twice every century. Whatever happens, hopefully it will be far off into the future. I don't want another war. I'm not sure I believe in it anymore.
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Old 09-26-2014, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Sinking in the Great Salt Lake
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No freaking way. If anything, it will go down in history as the bloodiest. Our world is steaming full-speed toward disaster with a broken rudder.
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Old 09-26-2014, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Type 0.7 Kardashev
10,575 posts, read 7,938,153 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PeaceAndLove42 View Post
Now that we are firmly in the 21st century, while there still are lots of wars/battles going around, do you think that, overall, the 21st century will end up being the least bloodiest century since the beginning of recorded history? Or do you think we'll have a WWIII or something close? Or could this be a relatively peaceful century?
It depends on what you mean by 'bloodiest'.

The population is continually increasing, so a consistent rate of bloodshed will result in more bloodshed as the population increases.

However, rates of bloodshed have been continually dropping over the long-term for centuries.

For a very in-depth look at this very clear and well-established trend, I highly recommend Steven Pinker's The Better Angels Of Our Natures: Why Violence Has Declined.
The Better Angels of Our Nature by Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker: Why Violence Is Vanishing - WSJ
Frequently Asked Questions about The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined | Department of Psychology
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Old 09-26-2014, 02:58 PM
 
Location: Nescopeck, Penna. (birthplace)
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There's a good chance of it. The First Gulf War demonstrated that most advanced nations will bond when a true international outlaw can be identified, and that appears to be what's shaping up against ISIS. The Seconf Gulf War backfired because George Bush and the Americans overplayed their hand -- that led to an occupation and all the particularly-tragic casualties that are inevitable when dealing with an insurgency, but if the First World can learn from this, the mistake need not be repeated.

It should be recognized that all the world's established, tested (100 years or more of transfers of power exclusively via free elections) democracies have rejected settling differences between themselves via the use of force. Any number of emerging democracies in Europe, the Americas, and the Pacific Rim are moving steadily iin that direction and the process no longer seems as intertwined with the Judeo-Christiabn ethic as the participants become increasingly secular. Since most of Africa and the remainder of Asia are more concerned with the demands of industrialization -- that leaves only the Islamic nations "on the outside", and in that case, it's mostly a matter of separating the pragmiatic majority from the fanatics and strongman-wannabees.

The single most dangeros "wild card" in this scenario, as I see it, is the handful of rogues seeking nuclear weapons, -- such as Iran and North Korea. Sooner pr later, one of them is going to overplay their hand -- and when that day comes, I belive that the offender should not only be clearly identified and delimited, but punished partuicularly harshly.

Last edited by 2nd trick op; 09-26-2014 at 04:04 PM..
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Old 09-26-2014, 03:08 PM
 
Location: Eindhoven, Netherlands
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Expect a lot more blood in Islamic countries, more in India, little less in the Americas, less in Southern Africa and Oceania and a lot less in Europe and the Far East compared to the last 2 centuries.

Not sure about West and East Africa.
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Old 09-26-2014, 03:55 PM
 
Location: Central Nebraska
553 posts, read 518,774 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PeaceAndLove42 View Post
Now that we are firmly in the 21st century, while there still are lots of wars/battles going around, do you think that, overall, the 21st century will end up being the least bloodiest century since the beginning of recorded history? Or do you think we'll have a WWIII or something close? Or could this be a relatively peaceful century?
The less-developped countries will find this an extremely bloody centruy. The more-developped countries will experience very little bloodshed.
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Old 09-26-2014, 04:34 PM
 
Location: Someplace Wonderful
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Wait until the Water Wars start.

20th Century = oil wars

21st Century = water wars.

Think about it. What will happen when clean water becomes less available to those who need it?
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Old 09-26-2014, 05:18 PM
 
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NO. Islam is on the march.
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Old 09-26-2014, 06:00 PM
 
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People tend to overlook the fact that the 20th century had its continued leak of non-industrialized conflict in the non-industrialized countries just as the 21st century will have.

For instance, over a million people were killed during the 1947 partition of Greater India. More than 25 million were killed during the Chinese revolution during the same period, with more than 40 million killed before Mao was finished. Nine million were killed in the Russian civil war and Stalin killed another 20 million.

It's hard for me to imagine replays of WWI (15 million) and WWII (66 million), the results of industrialized warfare. Without that, I don't think the non-industrialized wars will surpass that of the 20th century.
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