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View Poll Results: Will Houston proper ever reach 3 million people without annexation?
Yes 24 75.00%
No 8 25.00%
Voters: 32. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-22-2019, 11:50 PM
 
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Will Houston proper ever reach 3 million without annexation?

I'd say no, given that Houston proper is nearly built out, and Houston being Houston, officials are highly unlikely to densify and build massive condo complexes.

Seems like the vast bulk of undeveloped land and population growth, even in Harris County, is outside Houston proper.
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Old 07-23-2019, 01:28 AM
 
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Houston lacks zoning, therefore the presence or absence of dense condo booms would depend on the market, rather than any city officials.
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Old 07-23-2019, 02:49 AM
 
Location: Houston/Austin, TX
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West Houston is extremely developed. It's had sooooo many developments in the past few decades and is now showing. The farther North and South parts of the city have a lot of areas that can still be developed. Very possible that the city could reach 3 million.
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Old 07-23-2019, 02:53 AM
 
Location: Katy,Texas
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The simple answer is yes. While Houston is definitely built out, it has still gained 200,000+ people this decade and only gained about 100,000 people in the previous decade so city growth in the grand scheme of things is accelerating even though Growth as a percent and number is down metro wide. The Houston metro clearly has it limits on growth or is at least attempting to fill in (As someone mentioned we have been talking about Sugar Land, Katy, The Woodlands and Cypress for years, with Conroe being the only real new addition in terms of suburb discussion, Although I expect Fulshear, Brookshire and Richmond to enter the limelight even more but nowhere as much as Prosper or Anna will even DFW which has two cities, two downtowns is completely dominated by it's suburbs in terms of growth/popularity. Houston is still the very much dominant city in it's area. even though twice the number of people now reside in the suburbs outside of The Woodlands no Houston burb has any real acclaim to fame on the scale of Plano and North Dallas in general. This city focused attitude leads to in my opinion a less city vs. suburb divide, if someone says their moving Kingwood or Clear Lake their is no difference between Cypress, Friendswood even though the first two are in the city and the latter aren't the city doesn't have a stigma that it's associated it vs. other areas of the metro area. IMO by the time the Houston metro hits 10 million 3 million will be very possible if not certain.
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Old 07-23-2019, 04:53 AM
 
Location: Willowbrook, Houston
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Yes. Like someone said, Houston's Far North & South sides have plenty of undeveloped land to build on, so 3 million in the city isn't a far stretch.
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Old 07-23-2019, 06:48 AM
 
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Amateur demographers we are!

We have read that the Houston are is projected to grow from 6 million residents to 10 million residents in the next couple decades. We’ve read that downtown is expected to see a 40% increase in commuters in that time. With national trends favoring people wanting to live more in cities and less in suburbs, we can expect that the Houston city limits will get at least its fair share of the growth in the metro area.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MrJester View Post
I'd say no, given that Houston proper is nearly built out, and Houston being Houston, officials are highly unlikely to densify and build massive condo complexes.
But that’s exactly what we’re seeing inside the loop. We’re seeing bungalows and warehouses being torn down and replaced by townhouse and condo complexes. We’re seeing new residential complexes going up on vacant lots. We’re seeing abandoned industrial buildings being converted to residential use. We see all this happening in Downtown, Midtown, Near Midtown, EaDo, Montrose, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ScrappyJoe View Post
Houston lacks zoning, therefore the presence or absence of dense condo booms would depend on the market, rather than any city officials.
Bingo.
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Old 07-23-2019, 01:24 PM
bu2
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AcresHomes44 View Post
Yes. Like someone said, Houston's Far North & South sides have plenty of undeveloped land to build on, so 3 million in the city isn't a far stretch.
Yes. And in the South, the land west of 288 is mostly empty from 610 until you get close to Orem. There has been some limited development, but unless the old Holmes Road dump is a big environmental hazard, that area will eventually fill in with townhomes, condos and apartments. Its just too convenient to the Medical Center.

And the Heights, East End and 3rd ward are densifying after decades of losing population.
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Old 07-23-2019, 01:28 PM
bu2
 
23,855 posts, read 14,634,641 times
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And even when things seem developed there's often lots of room for more. I remember FM 1960 west of I-45 basically having a Kroger, Super-X and a Dairy Queen in '73/'74. By '77 it had filled in everywhere and seemed completely developed. Came back in 1980 and it seemed they had built something between everything that existed in 1977.
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Old 07-23-2019, 01:55 PM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,111 posts, read 85,909,223 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrJester View Post
Will Houston proper ever reach 3 million without annexation?
Ever? Define "ever" ...
Sure, it will.
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Old 07-30-2019, 11:32 PM
 
4,147 posts, read 2,907,397 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Snapper_head View Post
Amateur demographers we are!

We have read that the Houston are is projected to grow from 6 million residents to 10 million residents in the next couple decades. We’ve read that downtown is expected to see a 40% increase in commuters in that time. With national trends favoring people wanting to live more in cities and less in suburbs, we can expect that the Houston city limits will get at least its fair share of the growth in the metro area.



But that’s exactly what we’re seeing inside the loop. We’re seeing bungalows and warehouses being torn down and replaced by townhouse and condo complexes. We’re seeing new residential complexes going up on vacant lots. We’re seeing abandoned industrial buildings being converted to residential use. We see all this happening in Downtown, Midtown, Near Midtown, EaDo, Montrose, etc.



Bingo.
So I think you would say that Houston is deceptively dense and built-out and that it's very easy to underestimate how much Houston can grow, just by looking at a satellite picture.

Versus most newer suburbs, like The Woodlands, where you can, from a satellite pic, tell it pretty much is done growing unless annexation happens. Because infill development and densification doesn't just happen in a master-planned suburb like that.
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