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Old 09-05-2012, 04:29 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,053 posts, read 57,425,808 times
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500 PM AST WED SEP 05 2012

...MICHAEL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 42.7W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1775 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

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Old 09-05-2012, 04:30 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,053 posts, read 57,425,808 times
Reputation: 13139
Michael is moving slowly north-northwestward...but is expected to
turn toward the northeast in a day or so as a mid-latitude trough
moves eastward across the central atlantic. After this tough
bypasses michael...a ridge is forecast to build over the central
atlantic to the north of the cyclone. As the ridge slides
eastward in a few days...it should cause michael to turn
northwestward.
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Old 09-05-2012, 07:17 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
556 posts, read 634,831 times
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They were predicting him to be no more than 40 mph storm and one of those 6 hour storms... and now he's on the verge of becoming a hurricane.
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Old 09-06-2012, 06:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,053 posts, read 57,425,808 times
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500 am ast thu sep 06 2012

MICHAEL BECOMES FIRST CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE OF THE YEAR......


summary of 500 am ast...0900 utc...information
----------------------------------------------
location...29.6n 41.7w
about 1020 mi...1645 km wsw of the azores
maximum sustained winds...115 mph...185 km/h
present movement...ne or 45 degrees at 7 mph...11 km/h
minimum central pressure...965 mb...28.50 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am ast...0900 utc...the center of hurricane michael was
located near latitude 29.6 north...longitude 41.7 west. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 7 mph...11 km/h...and a turn to
the north and north-northwest with a decrease in forward speed is
expected during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph...185 km/h...
With higher gusts. Michael is a category three hurricane on the
saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Little change in strength is
forecast today...with some gradual weakening possible by friday.

Michael is a small but powerful tropical cyclone. Hurricane force
winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30 km...from the center...and
tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb...28.50 inches.
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Old 09-06-2012, 06:11 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,053 posts, read 57,425,808 times
Reputation: 13139
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Old 09-06-2012, 01:56 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
556 posts, read 634,831 times
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Jeez, they forecasted him to be 40 mph maximum at one point and look at him now!!! And finally a major, took all the way until the M storm, I think that's a record.
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Old 09-07-2012, 02:52 PM
 
Location: Bike to Surf!
3,080 posts, read 10,241,936 times
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Yay! More waves for me! What a great track, pointing straight at us at CAT-2! Too bad it's such a small wind field. Michaels swell will probably get lost in Leslie's. Well, if Leslie fizzles, at least there's Michael out there as backup!
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Old 09-07-2012, 04:43 PM
 
Location: Medford, Oregon
12 posts, read 16,697 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sponger42 View Post
Michaels swell will probably get lost in Leslie's.
Yeah, it looks like they may merge as they race northward next Tuesday or Wednesday...
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