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Old 07-07-2013, 09:51 PM
 
Location: Middle Tennessee
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I'm almost in the long range cone of projection for at least some rain maybe:

Tropical Storm CHANTAL
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Old 07-08-2013, 04:09 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Default TS Chantal forms in the Atlantic 7/8/13

Lots of shear out there. Interactions with land and strong upper-level westerly winds, this system could weaken to a tropical depression or even a remnant low pressure system by week's end

500 AM EDT MON JUL 08 2013

...CHANTAL CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.4N 49.5W
ABOUT 705 MI...1130 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


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Old 07-08-2013, 06:36 AM
 
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Meh, ill worry about it in two days when it's a rain maker and they've panicked everyone here thoroughly.
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Old 07-08-2013, 06:37 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nomadicus View Post
I'm almost in the long range cone of projection for at least some rain maybe:

Tropical Storm CHANTAL
It's probably going to be nothing, again. Rain Rain and more rain. Even she. They say it'll bring winds they're never more than anything but thunderstorm worthy. It's too early to even be. News worthy
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Old 07-08-2013, 09:27 AM
 
Location: God's Country
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I hope all you get is some needed rain!
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Old 07-08-2013, 10:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Jeff Masters. Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Tropical Storm Chantal: a Likely Harbinger of an Active Atlantic Hurricane Season | Weather Underground


"Most years do not have named storm formations in June and July in the tropical Atlantic (south of 23.5°N); however, if tropical formations do occur, it indicates that a very active hurricane season is likely. For example, the seven years with the most named storm days in the deep tropics in June and July (since 1949) are 1966, 1969, 1995, 1996, 1998, 2005, and 2008. All seven of these seasons were very active. When storms form in the deep tropics in the early part of the hurricane season, i...t indicates that conditions are already very favorable for TC development. In general, the start of the hurricane season is restricted by thermodynamics (warm SSTs, unstable lapse rates), and therefore deep tropical activity early in the hurricane season implies that the thermodynamics are already quite favorable for tropical cyclone (TC) development."

Two of this season's three storms have formed in the deep tropics--Tropical Storm Barry, which formed in the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche at a latitude of 19.6°N, and now Tropical Storm Chantal, which formed at a latitude of 9.8°N. With recent runs of the GFS model predicting formation of yet another tropical storm southwest of the Cape Verde Islands early next week, it appears that the Atlantic is primed for an active hurricane season in 2013."

Formation of a tropical storm east of the Lesser Antilles Islands in early July from an African tropical wave is an uncommon occurrence. Since Atlantic hurricane records began in 1851, there have been only thirteen tropical depressions or tropical storms that have formed July 15 or earlier that have passed through the Lesser Antilles, an average of one early-season tropical cyclone every thirteen years. Note that two of these storms, Dennis and Emily, occurred during the notorious Hurricane Season of 2005. There were five other pre-July 16 storms that formed east of the Lesser Antilles Islands, but did not pass through the islands (Bertha of 2009, Barry of 1989, and tropical depressions in 1967, 1978, and 2001 that did not become named storms.)
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Old 07-08-2013, 09:47 PM
 
Location: San Antonio/Houston/Tricity
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Here is a nice source to follow:
Welcome to BearPaws Weather™ - Tropical Weather Page
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Old 07-08-2013, 09:52 PM
 
Location: Middle Tennessee
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Aw shucks. Maybe if I'd shave she'd come a little closer?

Tropical Storm CHANTAL
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Old 07-09-2013, 04:16 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Hey guys, there's a thread on Chantal already. Be nice to look back at the file with all posts in one thread.
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Old 07-09-2013, 04:20 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Some strengthening in the forecast

5am NHC Updated path of TS Chantal in Atlantic. Keeps it a TS all the way out to Sun http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents

500 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013

...CHANTAL JUST EAST OF BARBADOS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 58.4W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM E OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES

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