U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
 
Old 07-24-2013, 05:43 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765

Advertisements

Assuming it will be a Tropical Storm later today I used the title for it. Still a depression for now but forecasted to overcome dry air around it and become a TS.

With the Strong and Large Bermuda High / Atlantic Ridge in place it has no where to go but south of it. So all models agree on a south track which means an East Coast risk. Models dont show this to be strong though. I'm thinking it will max out as a weak Cat 1 at best.

500 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 28.1W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


Quick reply to this message

 
Old 07-24-2013, 07:02 AM
 
Location: Miami
6,853 posts, read 20,381,131 times
Reputation: 2914
Let's hope it fizzle out.
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-24-2013, 09:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
Little earlier than thought... Cooler waters are ahead. This is NOT... or maybe I should say.. "should" not become a big storm. So even if it affects the East Coast its just going to be Tropical Rains and wind.

1100 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013

...FOURTH NAMED STORM OF THE 2013 SEASON FORMS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 29.9W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
GRADUAL WEAKENING ON THURSDAY AS DORIAN MOVES OVER COOLER WATER.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-24-2013, 09:40 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-24-2013, 11:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
GFS max Wind Swath projection

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/360091719603216384

Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-25-2013, 04:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
GFS00z keeps Dorian well off the coast but interestingly it brings it "northwestward" into Nova Scotia as a 977mb low

Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-25-2013, 12:11 PM
 
3,657 posts, read 6,607,024 times
Reputation: 5537
eh, call me in a week when we know something. Too early to worry about and even if it gets close , unless its a high cat 3 im not leaving... They're gonna ramp up the panic in about 3 days when they still know nothing
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-25-2013, 01:51 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
No change in strength... I never liked this one for a threat to the East coast. Meaning the pattern is there but not enough to worry. We'll see.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 35.9W
ABOUT 1800 MI...2900 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-26-2013, 09:46 AM
 
5,857 posts, read 8,690,400 times
Reputation: 6395
Where's it headed?
Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-26-2013, 04:57 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,115 posts, read 56,578,168 times
Reputation: 12765
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spazkat9696 View Post
Where's it headed?
It has weakened and tore apart. Wind shear and dry air tore it apart. I dont see any more threat with this one.
Heading west.

Tropical Storm DORIAN

Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


 
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:
Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top