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Old 11-18-2013, 10:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,138 posts, read 57,523,354 times
Reputation: 13165

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Interesting where this is heading... implecations of an enhanced negative NAO/Blocking for winter coming up. Tropical atmosphere warming up the northern latitudes.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
1100 AM EDT MON NOV 18 2013

CORRECTED TO ADD MENTION OF BERMUDA TO THE SURF STATEMENT

...SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 53.6W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.6 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL STORM BY
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445
KM...MAINLY NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND MELISSA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES

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Old 11-21-2013, 09:06 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,138 posts, read 57,523,354 times
Reputation: 13165
Satellite image showing intense fall storm centre now SE of the Avalon; and TS #Melissa over the mid-Atlantic.

https://twitter.com/rcbstormpost/sta...32783621922816

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Old 11-21-2013, 09:09 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,138 posts, read 57,523,354 times
Reputation: 13165
Change of plans and track for Melissa. heading completely opposite what they first thought thanks to blocking now. heading East back to Africa.

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Old 11-22-2013, 06:35 AM
 
746 posts, read 1,811,723 times
Reputation: 767
I have to admit, I laughed at the graphic of the wind history.

Moderator cut: image removed
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