U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 12-01-2013, 10:26 AM
 
Location: Rocky Mountain Xplorer
956 posts, read 1,365,552 times
Reputation: 690

Advertisements

Quote:
The 2013 Atlantic season has delivered the fewest hurricanes since 1982, U.S. forecasters said Monday, despite their predictions in May that it would be a busier than normal year.

"It was a busted forecast," said Chris Landsea, a forecaster at the National Hurricane Center. "We did not anticipate it to be a quiet year."

Forecasters had predicted 13 to 20 named Atlantic storms, seven to 11 that strengthen into hurricanes and three to six that become major hurricanes.

Read more here: Weak 2013 Atlantic hurricane season draws to close - Florida - MiamiHerald.com
She didn't say, "wow that's great, the hurricane season wasn't nearly as severe as we expected it to be !" No, she said it was a bust ! Any doubt where her sentiments lay ?
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 12-01-2013, 11:23 AM
 
25,128 posts, read 14,539,199 times
Reputation: 3267
I don't think that they were disappointed that monster storms didn't hit the US mainland, but that their skill in forecasting storms sucks.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 12-01-2013, 11:34 AM
 
Location: In the realm of possiblities
2,713 posts, read 2,447,300 times
Reputation: 3245
Well, there goes their Nielsen ratings.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 12-01-2013, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Rocky Mountain Xplorer
956 posts, read 1,365,552 times
Reputation: 690
Quote:
Originally Posted by 124c41 View Post
Well, there goes their Nielsen ratings.
Absolutely ! That's why she was so PO'd.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 12-03-2013, 07:50 AM
 
Location: Laurentia
5,593 posts, read 6,852,369 times
Reputation: 2412
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimBaker488 View Post
She didn't say, "wow that's great, the hurricane season wasn't nearly as severe as we expected it to be !" No, she said it was a bust ! Any doubt where her sentiments lay ?
A "bust" in meteorology-speak means a forecast that greatly misses, usually one that is close to the event or season itself. For example, if you forecast 6 inches of snow but get 20, that's a bust (to the upside), but if you forecast 6 and get 2, that's a bust (to the downside). I myself cannot stand the bias of TWC; their people constantly moan and groan about how miserable winter weather is and how unfortunate it is. The same applies to any windstorm, any rain, a cold spell, or even just cloud cover, whereas they constantly root for sunshine and heat (until it reaches 90F then they moan about how hot it is). It's as if they hate weather, which is sort of strange.

Hurricanes are one of the few types of weather that they don't praise or despise regularly, and I've found their coverage relatively unbiased. There is a slight bias towards rooting for hurricanes, but that's understandable considering that they work on weather and hurricanes are quite interesting meteorologically. When you think about it the storm system itself is pretty awesome - it's the damage that's horrible, and for significant damage you need landfall at high intensities. Therefore, I think a season with a lot of intense storms that just hang out in the open ocean would be best for weather enthusiasts and the general public. 2010 is probably the closest season to this scenario that we've ever seen.

Generally a person doesn't like being wrong, even if they're predicting something bad. Also, to have such a busted forecast means that our forecasting prowess is not nearly as good as we'd like it to be, which would be good enough to predict how many storms and the areas where they will form and make landfall, so that when these monster seasons and storms occur we can be better prepared for them.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimBaker488 View Post
Absolutely ! That's why she was so PO'd.
Last time I checked the National Hurricane Center didn't depend upon Nielsen ratings, or even had Nielsen ratings (or a TV channel for that matter).
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-28-2014, 12:56 AM
 
Location: Round Rock, TX
2,988 posts, read 1,033,072 times
Reputation: 895
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
I don't think that they were disappointed that monster storms didn't hit the US mainland, but that their skill in forecasting storms sucks.
it sure does
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:28 PM.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top