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Old 12-26-2007, 07:31 AM
 
22 posts, read 82,257 times
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Who checks the the Hurricane Forecasters for a conflit of interest regarding the projected "path" and intensity of the hurricane?

If they bring the "path" closer to the oil rigs...It has a big impact on oil and gas futures. They know where the rigs are. I don't believe they don't either sell the forecast before it goes out or buy some exxon mobil before their "path" hits the street. Everybody's Dirty these days.
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Old 12-29-2007, 08:08 PM
 
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I live in Southeast Florida, so when its heading towards us, I check every site to see if the chance is high for it hitting us.
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Old 01-02-2008, 11:56 PM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
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The projected path and intensity of a tropical cyclone is usually the mean of an array of different computer models (which have no clue where oil rigs or large cities are).
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Old 01-18-2008, 07:43 PM
 
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But the Forecaster's do...Thats my point. If they take the mean computer track...then "adjust" it towards the rigs...they directly impact the price of oil.
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Old 01-21-2008, 10:44 PM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
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Oil Rigs

Ship Traffic


A hurricane anywhere in the Gulf will cause economic troubles.. it's kind of hard to circumnavigate that.

All we can do is hope and pray for a 3rd quiet hurricane season in a row.
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Old 01-21-2008, 10:51 PM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
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Here is also a map of where all recorded hurricanes have tracked across the globe and their intensities. Unfortunately, the oil rigs weren't safe.

On a side note, I wouldn't wanna hang around off the coast of Asia.
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Old 01-23-2008, 12:55 PM
 
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Rarely does the track of a storm make anywhere near the impact as the intensity when it comes to oil rigs. If there is a tropical storm or Cat 1, those that are directly in the path will follow evacuation processes. Once the storm reaches a 2 or 3, a wider path of rigs will evacuate. When it hits 4 and 5, frequently even those not even in any of the projected paths will evacuate, and thats because even if it doesn't hit their rig, the swells generated by a 4 or 5 from a great distance are monstrous and dangerous to a crew.

But as pointed out earlier, there is such wide coverage in the gulf of oil platforms that it really doesn't matter what track it takes.
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