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Old 08-26-2015, 11:16 AM
 
Location: Miami,FL
653 posts, read 811,275 times
Reputation: 735

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Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985 View Post
Of course, it has it completely missing us and veering north. How predictable. I really hope it takes a more westerly track. Why is South FL such a hurricane hole the last 10 years? Seems everywhere gets them besides us now.
Why do you want them? You must not have experienced the one in 1992 bc only a moron would want a hurricane
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Old 08-26-2015, 12:17 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,304 posts, read 74,586,896 times
Reputation: 16519
Last night Euro hits Florida.
Latest GFS hits florida but weak.

Check out the water temps where the path is.

https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...87242711052288
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Old 08-26-2015, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,304 posts, read 74,586,896 times
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GFS has landfall in Palm Beach. Not as strong as Euro.

https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...71343966879744
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Old 08-26-2015, 01:24 PM
 
2,314 posts, read 1,838,404 times
Reputation: 2354
Hot and beautiful here today, I'll take pictures tomorrow and upload when I can. Guessing electricity gets knocked out but we'll see. Should I be the internet guy who knows nothing about meteorology but posts like I know what's going on?

Well Bob, it's clear and sunny here today, great beach day! Watch out though, Bob, we have a hurricane coming this way! Back to you, Bob.

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Old 08-26-2015, 01:47 PM
 
Location: Miami,FL
2,886 posts, read 4,091,536 times
Reputation: 715
Loving the forecast track
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Old 08-26-2015, 02:44 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,705 posts, read 3,753,777 times
Reputation: 1410
Quote:
Originally Posted by miamihurricane555 View Post
Loving the forecast track
Welcome back to the forums!

I am loving the track too!!! We need a good hurricane
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Old 08-26-2015, 03:03 PM
 
Location: Miami,FL
2,886 posts, read 4,091,536 times
Reputation: 715
Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013 View Post
Welcome back to the forums!

I am loving the track too!!! We need a good hurricane
Thanks, I am hoping it is strong enough that they(the county) issues a Mandatory evacuation for zone A and B so that we can try out our evacuation pro decals with this weaker system rather than getting caught with our pants down. That's the same reason I want it to be strong enough to cause at least 25% damage to the Pre Andrew code buildings so they get replaced with building built to code. My house is Pre Andrew but they people who built it actually built it OVER code.
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Old 08-26-2015, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,304 posts, read 74,586,896 times
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Awesome link! Using the current discussion from Hurricane Hunters and Erika's position. LOCATION...16.3N 58.2W Here's a link that shows all historical Tropical systems that were in that area...

Only 1 hit Florida from a System in Erika's current position. Donna, a Cat 5 Hurricane.. Aug - Sept 1960 which affected New England as well.

Hurricanes

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Old 08-26-2015, 03:32 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,705 posts, read 3,753,777 times
Reputation: 1410
Quote:
Originally Posted by miamihurricane555 View Post
Thanks, I am hoping it is strong enough that they(the county) issues a Mandatory evacuation for zone A and B so that we can try out our evacuation pro decals with this weaker system rather than getting caught with our pants down. That's the same reason I want it to be strong enough to cause at least 25% damage to the Pre Andrew code buildings so they get replaced with building built to code. My house is Pre Andrew but they people who built it actually built it OVER code.
My home was built in 1951 :P. The thing's a tank though, it made it through Andrew with hardly a scratch.
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Old 08-26-2015, 04:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,304 posts, read 74,586,896 times
Reputation: 16519
National Weather Service requesting Ships to report OBS every 3 hours now within 300 miles of Erika..

Next report at 11pm EDT

Tropical Storm ERIKA Forecast Advisory?

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 58.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 45SE 45SW 150NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 58.9W
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