Atlantic - Kate forms 11-9-2015 (warm, recorded, storm, season)
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Hurricane season in the Atlantic doesn't end until Nov. 30th!
Tropical Storm Kate officially formed at 820am EST Monday November 11, 2015.
As of 11am EST Monday Nov.11, 2015 Kate had winds of 45mph, pressure 1008mb, and moving to the NW at 15mph, located at 24.5 N 75.3 W or about 15 miles ENE of Cat Island in the Bahamas. Tropical Storm force winds extend up to 90 miles from the cente, but mainly to its north.
Will produce some scattered showers, some could be heavy, across some of the Bahamas with 1-3 inches.
Expected to turn North tonight and curve out to sea and pass between the US coast and Bermuda by Wednesday.
Some strengthening is possible but not expected to become a hurricane.
Tuesday 11-10-2015 10am EST update: Kate still strengthening and is trying to make a run for hurricane strength. If it did it will be the 39th storm to reach hurricane status in the Atlantic basin for the month of November since 1851* (*That we're aware of or have measured...pretty sure there have been others unrecorded or mis-diagnosed). Quickly moving NE at 21mph, winds 70mph, pressure 999mb. Should continue to head out to sea, passing between the US east coast and Bermuda tonight into Wednesday, and then head into the North Atlantic.
Kate became the 4th Hurricane of the season Wednesday 11-11-2015 with the 5am update.
At 11am 11-11-2015 winds were 75mph, pressure 985mb, and racing ENE at a whopping 45mph.
Located well NE of Bermuda and heading out to sea quickly and into the north Atlantic.
Should quickly loose tropical characteristics and transition into a strong extratropical cyclone. May affect areas near or North of Ireland / UK or near or South of Iceland late this weekend.
The fact that were getting hurricanes forming above 30 N in November is worrying.
November is typically the month when we see hurricanes form down in the deep Caribbean (if they do form), not near Bermuda
I blame the record levels of heat in the Atlantic for this.
Ya, there is still warmer waters in the Western Atlantic (And I want to say that was really late season for them to become so warm) but that should cool off some here as we get into winter.
Long range models, although not that reliable this far out, appear to be showing record Atlantic warmth next year which would mean an active hurricane season is on the table (Goodbye Elnino!). Too early to say with our current technology and knowledge at this point though.
Where's IBM and weather Watson when you need them....
Kate weakened to a 70mph Tropical Storm with the 11pm Wednesday 11-11-2015 advisory from the NHC.
As of 5am Thursday 11-12-2015 Kate has been classified as a extratropical storm and advisories will no longer be issued on this system.
What remains will continue to head into the north Atlantic and possibly affect weather in northern Ireland, UK, and possibly Iceland towards the end of this weekend.
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