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Old 08-02-2016, 09:06 AM
 
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National Hurricane Center will be issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Earl before noon, Tuesday August 2, 2016. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is flying through the system now.
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Old 08-02-2016, 10:24 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Sorry Texas, this one isn't for you.

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Old 08-02-2016, 10:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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5th Tropical Storm for Atlantic


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Old 08-02-2016, 12:16 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
5th Tropical Storm for Atlantic

Had it cut north between Cuba and the Yucatan it would have seen massive strengthening with the near 90 degree waters. Scary situation in the Gulf and south east coast with water Temps near 90. Like steroids for hurricanes, all we need is one storm in that area, watch how it strengthens.
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Old 08-02-2016, 12:41 PM
 
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Yes indeed! Very warm out there!
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Old 08-03-2016, 05:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Had it cut north between Cuba and the Yucatan it would have seen massive strengthening with the near 90 degree waters. Scary situation in the Gulf and south east coast with water Temps near 90. Like steroids for hurricanes, all we need is one storm in that area, watch how it strengthens.
Just a matter of time U.S gets hit a lot again.. It's Cyclical. Just like climate. Trends and Patterns always happen. There will be a point in the future where we are active almost every year in the Atlantic and Gulf again. Pacific needs to cool off first.


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Old 08-03-2016, 06:49 AM
 
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NHC corrected from 65 to 70mph, recon flight in storm currently. Hurricane soon with that pressure drop, microwave imagery shows eye structure forming. Earl decided it was too far North and jumped it's center Southward overnight, right near the coast now but has resumed Westward movement. Generally headed in the direction of Belize/Guatemala/scraping Honduras coast line.

I wonder how much interaction with land so close to its South will effect it's future strengthening though.
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Old 08-03-2016, 07:07 AM
 
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Reminder since there are Watches/Warnings now for this system updates are released at 5a/p, 8a/p, 11a/p, and 2a/p for this system from the National Hurricane Center here: National Hurricane Center

Additional updates/information may come hourly as this is so close to shore.

Appears remnants later this week will head thru Mexico where Earl has been continually taking the more southern routes and jumps more southward...could this emerge into the Pacific?



Satellite images here: Earl - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations





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Old 08-03-2016, 07:29 AM
 
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From the August 3, 2016 8am update: impacts/hazards:

"HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast of Honduras, including the Bay Islands, this morning, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous. These conditions will
reach Belize and Mexico within the hurricane and tropical storm
warning area by tonight or early Thursday. Hurricane conditions are
expected to begin in the Bay Islands of Honduras later today and
in portions of the hurricane warning area in Belize and Mexico
tonight or early Thursday.

RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8
to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, and the
Yucatan peninsula of Mexico through Thursday night. Very heavy
rain will reach the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz between
Thursday night and Saturday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of
16 inches are possible in Belize and Mexico. These rains could
result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3
to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast of the
Honduras Bay Islands, Belize and the eastern Yucatan peninsula
near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves."
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Old 08-03-2016, 12:06 PM
 
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August 3, 2016 2pmEST update still keeps at 70mph Tropical Storm. Hurricane Hunter aircraft in storm now, no hurricanes force winds found yet. Pressure still 990mb. Moving generally W at 14mph after earlier jump S. Current trajectory would take Earl now towards central Belize coast.
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