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7 Aug 2017 afternoon:
-90L / PTC7 became Franklin.
-99L in the Atlantic hasn't been doing so well last few days but models are starting to pick up on it again...general consensus it may want to turn up and out to sea but question is how close to US east coast does it come. No major threat yet being a week+ aways in time and not even a storm formed yet. But definitely one to keep an eye on.
The two main models at odds......again! The Euro has been consistent last several runs with 99L in central Atlantic developing into a US East Coast threat/tease. The GFS says poof-be-gone. They can't both be right....model mayhem continues...
Tuesday evening: more models jumping on the whatever becomes of 99L want to turn it band wagon. Still nearly a week out from threatening the US so HIGHLY subject to change.
This morning (Wednesday) model run showing higher chance of a Depression or TS forming with 99L and more clustered together staying just offshore. Still highly subject to change this far out but consistency is almost always king.
2pmEST 9 August 2017- a little spin up of interest over part of the Bahamas areas, only 10% chance of development at this time though. Scattered showers for this area.
Thursday morning 10 Aug 2017:
-Looks like 99L is having trouble being tangled up with the nearby upper low, so chances of it developing off the US east coast or lessening. Still should watch just in case.
-The low off Florida's east coast isnt expected to develop still but is bringing heavy scattered showers to some.
-Franklin made landfall in Mexico overnight, is diminishing over land.
8pmEST 11 August 2017:
99L still in the Atlantic, 40-60% chance of development currently, small window of opportunity. Models in pretty tight grid showing it turning out to sea.
12 August 2017 evening:
99L turning up just off the US East coast could develop, 80% chance now, but models still keep it offshore.
Models still saying we're in for a BUSY August for tropical systems coming up, already some crazy models showing up on social media (wwwaayyyy too early for that stuff).
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