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Old 06-13-2017, 06:30 AM
 
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13 June 2017: 20% chance of formation of a system off the Yucatán Peninsula, Belize, Hondurous region of the Caribbean Sea according to the NHC.

Last edited by Psychoma; 06-13-2017 at 06:31 AM.. Reason: Added who said.
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Old 06-14-2017, 06:35 AM
 
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14 June 2017 8amEST:
-20% chance of development near Yucatán Peninsula.
-20% chance of development for system that just moved off the coast of the African continent in the eastern Atlantic, heading westward. Whatever state it's in will be nearing the Caribbean several days from now.
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Old 06-14-2017, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I'll check this out soon.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...49786331869186
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Old 06-14-2017, 12:28 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Btw.. Possible Tropical system in Gulf around the 22nd (8 days from now). Canadian and GFS has hinted at this for 3 days now. Dont ask where it makes landfall. All we can do is mention the latest.

Latest Canadian hits Florida and comes up to Northeast with soaking wind swept rains.
Last night's Euro hits Texas.
Latest GFS lost the storm. What else is new in its 4-7 day range? Lol. I think GFS does better 10 days out than 5.
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Old 06-15-2017, 06:06 AM
 
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15 June 2017- 8amEST: Storm blob trekking across the Atlantic from Africa towards the Caribbean still at 20% chance of development. System near the Yucatán now 50% chance of development.
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Old 06-15-2017, 02:02 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Todays update is same exact as yesterdays with Canadian hitting Florida. Euro hitting Texas. And GFS not knowing whats going on. This is for early next week Gulf storm potential
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Old 06-16-2017, 06:03 AM
 
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16 June 2017 - 8amEST: chances up to 60% for system near Yucatán Peninsula / southern Gulf of Mexico. Chances up to 40% for storm trekking across the Atlantic towards the Caribbean.
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Old 06-17-2017, 06:30 AM
 
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17 June 2017 8amEST: 70% chance of development both systems in the next 5 days.

The system over the Atlantic, designated as "92L", heading in general direction of the Caribbean but its sitting very low and may end up interacting with or close to northern South America and then into the Caribbean.

The other system to form near the Yucatán Peninsula / southern Gulf of Mexico has the Euro model saying maybe Tropical Storm towards Texas/Mexico while the GFS says maybe Tropical Storm into the central/eastern US Gulf states...always the opposites with those two main models!



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Old 06-17-2017, 07:10 AM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
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Precip forecasted by NOAA in 6-7 days. Possible track for the tropical system?

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Old 06-17-2017, 07:33 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Precip forecasted by NOAA in 6-7 days. Possible track for the tropical system?
Likely so for the one in the Gulf. Since one main model sends it towards TX/Mexico and the other main model more towards FL, that would about be the middle. So that swath may change location and I'd expect the rain totals to significantly increase. Guess they're just getting something out there for now. Nice find.
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