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Old 06-20-2017, 11:48 AM
 
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The system in the Gulf has become TS Cindy.
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Old 06-20-2017, 03:40 PM
 
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Looking ahead looks like all quiet in the tropics for a little while after Cindy.
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Old 06-21-2017, 01:33 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Looking ahead looks like all quiet in the tropics for a little while after Cindy.
One of the reasons is SAL (Saharan Air Layer)...literally dust from the Sahara Dessert in Northern Africa, won't be allowing any tropical systems to form across the Atlantic and Caribbean. You can have small compact storms form just south of this layer or in small gaps of dust but it's a hard fight for them to survive long. The SAL suppresses tropical development. Side note: Sometimes you can get a really colorful sunset or hazy skies in portions of the US if a thick enough layer can make it all the way across.

Two computer predictions of SAL: first next week in June:


And other from start of July:
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Old 06-22-2017, 06:11 PM
 
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The Atlantic may be temporarily shut down but there's a 50% chance of development of storm off the West Mexico coast now.
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Old 06-24-2017, 06:46 AM
 
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8amEST 24 June 2017 - "93E" in the Pacific just off SW Mexico's coast expected to become a Tropical Depression in the next 24hours or so. Some models eventually turn it into a Hurricane in the coming week but keep it moving just offshore.

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Old 06-24-2017, 09:09 PM
 
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11pmEST 24 June 2017 - "93E" is now Tropical Depression "4e", Tropical Storm in east Pacific soon.

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Old 06-26-2017, 03:24 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
...You can have small compact storms form just south of this layer or in small gaps of dust but it's a hard fight for them to survive long. ...
Models picking up on a compact storm trying to form as it leaves the coast of Africa later this week. As mentioned previously, the SAL suppresses tropical development but you can occasionally get compact, briefly strong storms riding below it / in a small pocket of less dry air.
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Old 06-29-2017, 03:23 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Take the blindfolds off and you'll see theres actually a slight down trend in global tropical systems.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/880477827342249985

And check out U.S landfall hurricanes vs CO2. Lol

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...08046990196736
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Old 06-30-2017, 05:10 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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So far


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Old 06-30-2017, 06:56 AM
 
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30 June 2017: our 'Cape Verde' storm (because they originate off west African coast near the Cape Verde islands...these are always of interest because they have ample time crossing the Atlantic Ocean to properly organize their structure and can become quite intense hurricanes later on, but not always the case) of interest has a LOT of dry Saharan dusty air (SAL) to overcome (the yellow/orange/red in first image)...but the GFS is VERY bullish on producing a very tiny compact storm next week....not going to be easy for it...but we will watch!


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