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My brother is here in Md. but has a home on Marco Island which as I understand it is under mandatory evacuation. At least he wasn't part of the poor souls who are trying to get out, but his home will probably be destroyed.
The track models remind me of a proctologist ramming his fist and forearm up Florida's ass.
Time frame overnight/this AM did indeed change a little, allowing for more time to leave for those who wish to today (VERY southern tip of FL winds starting to pick up already though). Here's lateast tropical storm force wind (39mph or higher) arrival time maps (updated with 5amEST advisory, will update again when 11am comes out). Tropical Storm force is usually the threshold police use on when major bridges will be closed to drivers or when they start to not respond to calls for help sometimes (some have a higher wind limit just depends) So you want to be where you are going to stay for the storm by then if you can really.
Here's the earliest arrival time of TropicalStorm winds:
But here's the most likely arrival time of TropicalStorm winds:
Thank you
Looks like Sarasota/venice area would be safe for most of daylight hours SAT/today to relocate within local area-
due to local road/gas conditions how far could someone go--Ocala too far???
I know that is difficult to estimate but landing zone between Ft Myers to Tampa is worst outcome for us personally...i know others have their own +/- POVs
Difficult, but amazing storm to track. Cuba was hit harder than expected and the continued western track is nuts. Even with all these technology, these storms have a mind of their own. Is it too late to evacuate from the west coast of Florida? Traffic on I-75 according to Google Maps doesn't look too bad, but of course that could be inaccurate. Not sure what the gas situation is either.
Hurricane Warnings up to Daytona Beach, Hurricane Watches in Northern Florida and Southern Georiga, Tropical Storm Watches also in effect in portions of the Florida panhandle and Georgia.
So will Cuba more so than other smaller islands expend energy and drop her force to 4?
Will she gain momentum in the warmer water?
Slowing down will enable the turn but no way to tell how much--correct?
And no high pressure coming from the mainland anymore...
I would imagine that despite some friction with Cuba, the storm will be able to maintain most of it's energy over the warm water. I'm waiting for the turn like everyone else.
Is it too late to evacuate from the west coast of Florida? Traffic on I-75 according to Google Maps doesn't look too bad, but of course that could be inaccurate. Not sure what the gas situation is either.
Hurricane Warnings up to Daytona Beach, Hurricane Watches in Northern Florida and Southern Georiga, Tropical Storm Watches also in effect in portions of the Florida panhandle and Georgia.
Wife evacuated from Space Coast to Clearwater on Wednesday. Re-evacuating right now coming back to Space Coast. Better to endure lesser hurricane here than running ahead of the storm northward. Not to mention the nightmare of returning post-storm with 10 million other evacuees.
Storm has started the turn very early this AM, skirting along the Cuba coast, overall moving around WNW, but 8am advisory said West likely because it was moving West at that moment. But its definitely not due west movement. We should see more signs of the eventual north turn when it slows down forward speed (moving 12mph currently). (Sat image was taken 859am). Keep in mind they're rarely perfectly straight lines of movements, usually constant tiny wobbles back and forth along a general heading.
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