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Old 08-31-2017, 08:52 AM
 
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11aEST: ***Rapid Intensification ongoing*** Now a hurricane. Winds 100mph, moving WNW 10mph, pressure 979mb.

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Old 08-31-2017, 09:16 AM
 
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I think Florida needs to be on high alert with this storm.
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Old 08-31-2017, 09:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
11aEST: ***Rapid Intensification ongoing*** Now a hurricane. Winds 100mph, moving WNW 10mph, pressure 979mb.


Yup..


11am Update. Next one at 5pm.


Quote:
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM AST Thu Aug 31 2017

...HURRICANE IRMA RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 33.8W
ABOUT 650 MI...1050 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1845 MI...2975 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 33.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is
forecast through early Friday, followed by a generally westward
motion on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Irma is forecast to become a major hurricane by
tonight and is expected to be an extremely dangerous hurricane for
the next several days
.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).




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Old 08-31-2017, 09:55 AM
 
Location: Orcutt, CA (Santa Maria Valley)
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Could Irma be another Matthew but worse?
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Old 08-31-2017, 10:04 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder98 View Post
Could Irma be another Matthew but worse?
From no impact at all to something bigger. All options still on the table this far out. Too early for specifics, will be sometime next week really before we know more.
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Old 08-31-2017, 10:25 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Default Hurricane History Tracks

Fun tool-link to play with. I used the exact current spot of Irma by clicking "set on map" using the coordinates from latest NHC update and I used 65 mile radius. This shows all storms that were in that position.


I highlighted one of them Unnamed storm of 1893 took that path.


Surprised only 1 "from that spot" actually hit land. Once Irma loses latitude and dives Southwest it will change things a lot.


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Old 08-31-2017, 10:34 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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LOL @ GFS again. Lastest 12z run says Evening of September 8th a sub 900mb cyclone sitting right there. Gees





Sept 10th its still insanely intense and strong at 917mb and sitting right there aiming for New England or recurving out??





Sept 11th hits Nova Scotia and Maine



Last edited by Cambium; 08-31-2017 at 10:47 AM..
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Old 08-31-2017, 01:37 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
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Meanwhile, the ECMWF has Irma passing through the Florida Keys as a major hurricane, heading into the GoM.
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Old 08-31-2017, 02:34 PM
 
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5pEST: Cat3 Hurricane, winds 115mph, moving WNW 12mph, pressure 967mb.
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Old 08-31-2017, 02:37 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,292 posts, read 56,762,409 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by reds37win View Post
Meanwhile, the ECMWF has Irma passing through the Florida Keys as a major hurricane, heading into the GoM.
Saw...and ignored. Lol. Anything possible though

Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
5pEST: Cat3 Hurricane, winds 115mph, moving WNW 12mph, pressure 967mb.
Holy Crap!!!! On road, thanks for update. Geesus. Models were right with it becoming a major cane. How long can it retain it though
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