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Old 09-08-2017, 01:32 PM
 
Location: FL
20,702 posts, read 12,525,985 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randomparent View Post
That is my biggest concern for my family riding it out in central Florida's tornado alley.
Me too.
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Old 09-08-2017, 01:39 PM
 
Location: Florida
33,547 posts, read 18,143,148 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JRR View Post
Yes and no. Faster moving means that doesn't stay long but it keeps it's power longer. Charley was still a Cat 1 when it exited Florida at New Smyrna Beach after traveling all the way from Punta Gorda on the Southwest Coast. It came through Orlando like an express train with gusts at 100mph+ without a ton of rain.
Hurricane Charlie took off roofs across the whole state. Tarps were seen on the west and east coast .
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Old 09-08-2017, 01:43 PM
 
21,382 posts, read 7,935,527 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Euro is interesting too because, if track held exactly to that, would take it from SW FL to NE FL more diagonally. Also would be a massive surge between Marco Island and Everglades City because of the shape of the coast line (again IF that exact track came to pass).
2 pm Sarasota County Emergency management press conference said it would be a Cat 2 once it reaches Sarasota County.

Is that optimistic? Realistic?

There is mandatory evac of zone A, which is barrier beaches and beachfront only at this time
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Old 09-08-2017, 01:48 PM
 
21,382 posts, read 7,935,527 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidyankee764 View Post
I've acknowledged the traffic was bad. Two of my closest friends are FHP troopers and have confirmed the traffic was rough. My immediate family is both in Jupiter and Venice, and have also confirmed traffic was bad on 75 up through Sarasota. But the media made people believe it was so bad, motorists would be stuck on the roads during the start of the storm due to traffic. CNN is still saying traffic is gridlocked statewide even though Google maps says otherwise. Seeing that the highways are smooth sailing in 90% of south Florida at the moment, they've made it seem more dire than it is, and reversing traffic flow is completely unneeded.
I know one person who turned backed.

I know another who changed their original plan to go to Panama City and is now headed to Atlanta because they can't drive because it is bumper to bumper. 1 of every 10 gas stations has gas, and if they see a station they get gas. Period.

I know another person who left Bradenton, FL at 2 AM to go to Pensacola. He still hasn't gotten there yet.

It's bad. 90% smooth sailing????? Not even close.
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Old 09-08-2017, 01:53 PM
 
7,258 posts, read 4,624,529 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by newtovenice View Post
2 pm Sarasota County Emergency management press conference said it would be a Cat 2 once it reaches Sarasota County.

Is that optimistic? Realistic?

There is mandatory evac of zone A, which is barrier beaches and beachfront only at this time
I couldn't tell you with any certainty on that. I do know that if the eye reaches the shore of Cuba that should weaken it some and likely the further S it hits FL the weaker Irma would be before reaching its closest there, as well as depend on how close center ends up getting to there, so all dependent on that darn exact track still unfortunately....wish I could tell you exactly what you would get.
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Old 09-08-2017, 01:58 PM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,277 posts, read 2,798,262 times
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Historical pictures from 1935 Hurricane

https://www.google.com.ph/search?q=1...h=239&tbm=isch

Also Wikipedia article


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935..._Day_hurricane

Many cities did not exist in Florida in 1935 and Irma is much larger than 1935 Hurricane.

Notice this hurricane began in Bahama and grew to Cat 5. Irma is entering warm Bahama waters and is already a huge hurricane.

The scale of the damage of Irma will be many times 1935. Have a look at photos if you are still in risky home and have time to evacuate.

https://alchetron.com/1935-Labor-Day...cane-1422603-W
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Old 09-08-2017, 02:06 PM
 
7,258 posts, read 4,624,529 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by newtovenice View Post
2 pm Sarasota County Emergency management press conference said it would be a Cat 2 once it reaches Sarasota County.

Is that optimistic? Realistic?

There is mandatory evac of zone A, which is barrier beaches and beachfront only at this time
Also, you may want to keep tabs on the National Weather Service Tampa office website (they cover Sarasota, click the link below or go to Weather.gov and enter your city, then view the "Hurricane Local Statement" link and somewhere burried in there it has your estimated winds and gust****subject to change as track shifts**** (a shift of 30 miles left or right could make a HUGE difference so stay up to date with them on it), right now in the Storm Surge Warning section of the Hurricane Local statement it says "Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph" but was last updated at 1124am today and so doesnt include any recent tweeks to track yet:

here: NWS Tampa, FL - Sarasota
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Old 09-08-2017, 02:07 PM
 
1,717 posts, read 1,690,565 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mochamajesty View Post
Gov. Scott answered this. Fuel tankers have to be able to to travel back and forth.
Saw on the news last night that the gas tankers were escorted by police.


When Houston evacuates the mandatory call goes for the coast first and it's done in segments. So the roads are clear and those in harms way can get out first. Does everyone listen to that? No. But enough do to know the drill.


I'm shocked they didn't open up the opposite lanes to exit north. It's what Houston did during Rita. The police put up barriers and people were driving the wrong way down the freeway to evacuate. It eased congestion.
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Old 09-08-2017, 02:26 PM
 
21,382 posts, read 7,935,527 times
Reputation: 18149
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Also, you may want to keep tabs on the National Weather Service Tampa office website (they cover Sarasota, click the link below or go to Weather.gov and enter your city, then view the "Hurricane Local Statement" link and somewhere burried in there it has your estimated winds and gust****subject to change as track shifts**** (a shift of 30 miles left or right could make a HUGE difference so stay up to date with them on it), right now in the Storm Surge Warning section of the Hurricane Local statement it says "Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph" but was last updated at 1124am today and so doesnt include any recent tweeks to track yet:

here: NWS Tampa, FL - Sarasota
Yes I am checking that. Thanks, we're going to make the call to get to a shelter if needed tomorrow morning. If it stays to track, we should be ok. If it makes any more movemnent west, I'm worried about storm surge more than wind/rain. it seems to be a "drier" hurricane anyway, so rain isn't such a factor.
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Old 09-08-2017, 02:32 PM
 
Location: Florida
7,195 posts, read 5,722,107 times
Reputation: 12337
Quote:
Originally Posted by pbmaise View Post
Historical pictures from 1935 Hurricane

https://www.google.com.ph/search?q=1...h=239&tbm=isch

Also Wikipedia article


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935..._Day_hurricane

Many cities did not exist in Florida in 1935 and Irma is much larger than 1935 Hurricane.

Notice this hurricane began in Bahama and grew to Cat 5. Irma is entering warm Bahama waters and is already a huge hurricane.

The scale of the damage of Irma will be many times 1935. Have a look at photos if you are still in risky home and have time to evacuate.

https://alchetron.com/1935-Labor-Day...cane-1422603-W
What is a risky home? Our one-story home in Sarasota County is concrete, built in 2004. We have hurricane shutters on some windows and plywood on others. We are in evacuation zone D and currently only zone A is being evacuated.
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