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Old 09-17-2017, 11:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spazkat9696 View Post
Is it looping back at VA Beach? I'm having a hard time making it out.
Me too, but did get me in the mood for Spaghetti. . No threat to Mid Atlantic at all.
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Old 09-17-2017, 11:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Latest GFS12z. Each frame is 3 hours apart.


Starts with Monday morning ends Friday morning. This thing is going to be couple hundred miles off the New England coast. Eastern MA will feel something out of it.


Otherwise just rain and a breeze for rest of us. inland areas get nothing.


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Old 09-17-2017, 12:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I sure do know how to jinx things, huh? All models now tuck Jose closer to the coast.


Here's the NAM model. Track is closer to coast which means now we'll feel more wind and have heavier bands of rain. You can see the bands rotated in here well. Yellow = very heavy rains with wind for NJ, NYC, CT, RI, MA


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Old 09-17-2017, 12:28 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
I sure do know how to jinx things, huh? All models now tuck Jose closer to the coast.


Here's the NAM model. Track is closer to coast which means now we'll feel more wind and have heavier bands of rain. You can see the bands rotated in here well. Yellow = very heavy rains with wind for NJ, NYC, CT, RI, MA

I might be a little too far west to get much other than a couple gusty showers. May be worst near the coast if the storm does move closer.
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Old 09-17-2017, 01:58 PM
 
5,913 posts, read 8,800,075 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Latest GFS12z. Each frame is 3 hours apart.


Starts with Monday morning ends Friday morning. This thing is going to be couple hundred miles off the New England coast. Eastern MA will feel something out of it.


Otherwise just rain and a breeze for rest of us. inland areas get nothing.

The mid Atlantic has been dodging bullets all summer. Hopefully it doesn't really loop back!
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Old 09-17-2017, 02:16 PM
 
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I was starting to think I'd made a mistake telling my parents to get off Nantucket, but now I'm glad they're leaving early. Thanks for everything, Cambium. Even your misses are more helpful to me than the noaa bulletins.
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Old 09-17-2017, 02:31 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
I might be a little too far west to get much other than a couple gusty showers. May be worst near the coast if the storm does move closer.

Yeah, definitely nothing to evacuate for and the coast would get more but you'll probably feel that there's a storm off the coast. Should get clouds from it and like you said, maybe some gusty rain maybe




Quote:
Originally Posted by Isabella Tiger Moth View Post
I was starting to think I'd made a mistake telling my parents to get off Nantucket, but now I'm glad they're leaving early. Thanks for everything, Cambium. Even your misses are more helpful to me than the noaa bulletins.
Ha. lol. Thanks! I look forward to missing more now. TBH, I'd rather have the headache of tracking winter storms and being wrong than Tropical ones. Then again, missing the big snows by 50 miles does suck. lol
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Old 09-17-2017, 03:35 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Jose. Jose. Welcome to the area.




Euro model was close as well on last update. Gives me over 2" of rain and 40mph+ wind gusts Tues-Wed AND... the wind gusts over 25mph continue for Thurs & Friday too as it stalls it off the coast. Lol.


From Flurries to a blizzard now. Ooops, wrong season.


Tropical Storm Watches are up for the coasts


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Old 09-17-2017, 05:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Recon found 99mph winds at surface. Remember.. "found a spot".. doesn't mean widespread but wonder if will be a Cat 2 soon?.


Jose (2017) - Vortex - Atlantic NOAA Miss. 10 - Tropical Atlantic


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Old 09-17-2017, 06:42 PM
 
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Cambium.... I know it won't be an intense storm, but what are we looking at for power outages in central CT?
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