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Old 09-17-2017, 07:33 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SeaDoo342 View Post
Cambium.... I know it won't be an intense storm, but what are we looking at for power outages in central CT?
Just local if anything where weak branches would fall on a wire. Actually central CT should have much going on
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Old 09-17-2017, 07:47 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Anyone boating out there?

https://twitter.com/WeatherErik/stat...10244866379777
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Old 09-17-2017, 07:48 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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We can use it again.

https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/s...88078980763648
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Old 09-17-2017, 07:49 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Peak wind gust forecast

https://twitter.com/ericfisher/statu...75509377474560
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Old 09-17-2017, 09:04 PM
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Location: NYC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
rare to hear say we can use more rain... I think we're ok but it definitely looked a bit on the dry side, not a real drought. New EURO has a New England landfall (or very close skim?) again. Not strong enough to be truly dangerous at least

https://twitter.com/NEWeatherWx/stat...12645610852352

you're not even in the abnormally dry category! I'm not either
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Old 09-18-2017, 04:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
rare to hear say we can use more rain... I think we're ok but it definitely looked a bit on the dry side, not a real drought. New EURO has a New England landfall (or very close skim?) again. Not strong enough to be truly dangerous at least

https://twitter.com/NEWeatherWx/stat...12645610852352

you're not even in the abnormally dry category! I'm not either

Oh definitely not drought or abnormally dry. But there's been more dry days then wet past few weeks so always nice to get the rains now before things go dormant. Give the landscape one last drink before being buried in snow. 1950s all over again for New England? Jose then Maria?




Back to Jose

New NAM says this for total rainfall. Not much. Heaviest stays off shore and over the MA capes. No landfall with the center of Jose.


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Old 09-18-2017, 04:10 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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5am NHC Update:


Quote:
BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 52
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

...JOSE WEAKENS A LITTLE...STILL MOVING NORTHWARD...

...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 71.4W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 71.4 West. Jose is moving toward
the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected
to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is
expected on Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of
Jose is forecast to pass well offshore of the Outer Banks of North
Carolina today, pass well east of the Delmarva peninsula tonight
and Tuesday, and pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during
the next couple of days, however, Jose is forecast to remain a
hurricane through Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by Tuesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.

RAINFALL... Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut,
southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts, including
Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket through Wednesday. Jose is also
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along
the mid-Atlantic coast, and from southeast New York to coastal
Maine. This rainfall could cause isolated flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

Crazy how it just stops, makes a right, then trys to make a uturn and wait to dance with Maria.







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Old 09-18-2017, 08:33 AM
 
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This morning Jose looks more Extratropical (not like a tropical hurricane), or more like a large nor-easter.
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Old 09-18-2017, 09:24 AM
 
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Wonder what will happen if Jose and maria got married .......
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Old 09-18-2017, 09:44 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ayoskillz View Post
Wonder what will happen if Jose and maria got married .......
There were some hints at that, now I think Jose just stalls out and vanishes. lol We'll see.


By the way.. the "Marriage" is a cool phenomenon called "Fujiwhara Effect". I posted this in another thread somewhere, worth the post again...

"When two hurricanes spinning in the same direction pass close enough to each other, they begin an intense dance around their common center. If one hurricane is a lot stronger than the other, the smaller one will orbit it and eventually come crashing into its vortex to be absorbed. Two storms closer in strength can gravitate towards each other until they reach a common point and merge, or merely spin each other around for a while before shooting off on their own paths. But often, the effect is additive when hurricanes come together — we usually end up with one massive storm instead of two smaller ones."




Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
This morning Jose looks more Extratropical (not like a tropical hurricane), or more like a large nor-easter.
It's always like that when it reaches this latitude. Not like there's cold air in the core, just never has a true Tropical Characteristics to it.

11:30am map with wind gusts.


The center of Jose is about 275 miles off the NC coast. Not much wind even for coastal NC but is breezy with 20mph+ gusts. Rain bands not even reaching NC

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