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Old 09-05-2017, 09:14 AM
 
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11aEST/AST 5 September 2017: The tropical wave that's been basically following Irma has developed into Tropical Storm Jose. Expected to eventually become a hurricane but models indicate it will recurve out to sea. Subject to change, and Leeward Islands will need to watch to see if it comes close enough to affect them or not.

Winds 40mph, moving WNW 13mph, pressure 1008mb.

Official storm stats/future path map come from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 5 & 11am/pmEST: National Hurricane Center

Satellite imagery/loops: Sat imagery

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Old 09-05-2017, 06:45 PM
 
Location: Northeast states
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Old 09-05-2017, 09:13 PM
 
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11pEST/AST 5 September 2017: Winds 50mph, moving West 14mph, pressure 1004mb. Most likely recurve out to sea storm.

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Old 09-05-2017, 11:01 PM
 
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9/5/17
Our local (Houston) news said Jose will be going out to sea.
Again, that is an early forecast.
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:30 AM
 
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Is Jose growing fast enough orbit enough to help Irma make the cut north?
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Old 09-06-2017, 08:36 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by loves2read View Post
Is Jose growing fast enough orbit enough to help Irma make the cut north?
Too far from each other to affect each other. No relation.
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Old 09-06-2017, 02:44 PM
 
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saw this is a hurricane now on NBC breaking news
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Old 09-06-2017, 06:12 PM
 
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5pEST/AST 6 September 2017:
Winds 75mph sustained (Cat1 hurricane as mentioned above), moving WNW 16mph, pressure 994mb.

Looks like a slight nudge to the west in the 5 day cone map but still looks to be a fish storm (out to sea), maybe a risk to Bermuda next week as it rounds the High pressure ridge and then a trough kicks it out to sea. Has about 36 hours or so of open waters to strengthen in (could reach Cat3 by Friday) before shear looks to start weakening it.

Hurricane force winds(74mph or higher) extend up to 15 miles from storm center, Tropical Storm force winds(39mph-73mph) extend up to 70 miles from the storm center.

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Old 09-07-2017, 07:12 AM
 
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5aEST/AST 7 September 2017: Winds 90mph, moving WNW 18mph, pressure 986mb.

**Note some longer range guidance suggesting the possibility that Irma's interaction with the trough could potentially force Jose to do a loop back down towards the general vicinity of the North Caribbean. Will have to watch for this chance but otherwise it should be out to sea / Bermuda only risk. For now not a concern, focus should be ln Irma, but just a heads up.
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Old 09-07-2017, 03:20 PM
 
Location: York
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Jose now upgraded to category 3. Not good at all.
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