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Old 09-06-2017, 04:35 AM
 
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4aCDT/5aEST: Tropical Depression 13 becomes Tropical Storm Katia in the SW Gulf of Mexico. Winds 40mph, moving ESE 2mph, pressure 1006mb. Currently expected to slowly drift down into Mexico later in the week, likely to intensify some.

Updates are released from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 4 & 10am/pmCDT (5&11a/pEST) here: National Hurricane Center

Satellite imagery/loops: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...L_floater.html

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Old 09-06-2017, 04:37 PM
 
Location: San Antonio/Houston/Tricity
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12 hours later - Hurricane Katia has sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph). Katia is expected to gain in strength and intensify as it approaches the coast of Veracruz, Mexico, the NHC said in its latest advisory on Wednesday.
The government of Mexico has issued a hurricane watch for the coast of the state of Veracruz from Tuxpan to Laguna Verde. A large area of dry, sinking air over Texas and Louisiana will keep Katia from creeping northward into Harvey disaster areas.
Katia is anticipated to drift toward the coast on Thursday.
The announcement of Hurricane Katia came minutes after the U.S. National Hurricane Center said Hurricane Jose had formed in the open Atlantic, far from land and well east of Hurricane Irma.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...arvey/70002649
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Old 09-06-2017, 05:54 PM
 
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7pCDT/8pEST/AST 6 September 2017:
Winds 75mph sustained (Cat1 hurricane as mentioned above), moving SE 3mph, pressure 992mb. Storm is expected to drift SE and eventually turn SW into Mexico. Steady strengthening is possible over the next few days before landfall.

Hurricane force winds(74mph or higher) extend up to 15 miles from storm center, Tropical Storm force winds(39mph-73mph) extend up to 60 miles from the storm center.

Heavy rain into Mexico with 2-5inches for Southern Tamaulipas, NE Puebla, S Veracruz trough Saturday, isolated up to 15inches in N Veracruz. Possible flash flooding and mudslides.

Katia spun up quickly but had been working on her organization for several days, even showing a well defined low level circulation earlier in the week (but was being sheared not allowing development). As soon as conditions allowed it quickly strengthened.

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Old 09-07-2017, 09:19 AM
 
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Local (Houston) news is keeping an eye on it but they're not too concerned. They feel the cold front will keep it stationary and then push it back to Mexico.


From AccuWeather Forecast
September 06, 2017, 8:45:01 AM EDT
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Old 09-07-2017, 06:59 PM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
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Summary Forecast 9

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW. 50 KT.......
15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 94.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 94.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.3N 95.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
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Old 09-07-2017, 09:07 PM
 
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10pCDT/11pEST 7 September 2017: Winds 85mph, moving West 3mph, pressure 982mb. Expected to make landfall by Saturday morning into Mexico as a strong Cat2 or so.

Hurricane Warning for: Cabo Rojo to Laguna Verde
Tropical Storm Warning for: North of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco; South of Laguna Verde to Puerto Veracruz.

Hurricane force winds extend up to 10 miles from storm center, Tropical Storm force up to 60 miles from center.

Storm Surge of 5-7ft where the eye makes landfall and to the North of landfall. Heavy rains of 2-5inches possible with isolated amounts of 25inches possible resulting in possible flash flooding and mudslides.

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Old 09-08-2017, 09:23 AM
 
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Continues to strengthen, up to 100mph winds now.
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Old 09-10-2017, 12:32 AM
 
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If to believe these earlier predictions, it might not be the last hurricane this season;

"May 27, 2017

Message to residents on the East and Gulf coasts: Brace yourselves for a wet and worry-filled summer.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting an above-normal 2017 Hurricane Season, with five to nine hurricanes — two to four of them Category 3 (winds at least 111 mph) or stronger. The forecast calls for 11 to 17 tropical systems (winds a least 39 mph)."


Hurricane season is about to start, and experts predict it will be busier than usual - LA Times
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