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Old 09-16-2017, 09:48 AM
 
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10aCDT/11aEST/AST 16Sept2017: "97L" becomes Tropical Storm Lee in the far Eastern Atlantic. This is the storm that's furthest away, closer to Africa than the US. (See General Hurricane thread for storm that's approaching the Caribbean).

Winds 40mph, moving West 12mph, pressure 1007mb. Slow strengthening is expected but per the NHC Lee will "be hammered by 30 kt of westerly shear by 48 hours". That will tear apart a tropical system so storm could actually dissipate next week, will watch where remnants go after that to see if redevelopment potential is there down the road.

Lot of models point to an eventual fish storm (out to sea) but some keep a more westward lean so will watch. You can see that in their cone at the end the slight Westward component possibility.

Official information from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issued at 4/10am/pmCDT(5/11am/pmEST/AST) here: NHC

Satellite imagery/loops taken every 30 minutes (available 25 minutes after taken) here: Lee sat images

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Old 09-16-2017, 11:08 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC.
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I think I'd be more concerned with 15....

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN
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Old 09-16-2017, 03:24 PM
 
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Originally Posted by sanspeur View Post
I think I'd be more concerned with 15....

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN
Just got a name..track looks foreboding.
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Old 09-19-2017, 02:22 PM
 
Location: Self explanatory
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Keeping an eye on this one. Supposed to be going home on the 30th, sailing out of NYC. Might be a little rough.
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Old 09-19-2017, 09:03 PM
 
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Lee has dissipated but as the orange blob in image below shows it has a 60% chance of regenerating back, but is headed out to sea.

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Old 09-21-2017, 07:59 PM
 
Location: Self explanatory
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That's the best news I've seen all day, thanks for posting.
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Old 09-21-2017, 08:37 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Old Town FFX View Post
That's the best news I've seen all day, thanks for posting.

Will mention though a strong cold front or trough looks to push Maria away quickly from wherever she ends up near the US east coast sometime around the 27-30th time frame. So waves could still be rough towards that time period.
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Old 09-21-2017, 08:53 PM
 
Location: Self explanatory
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Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Will mention though a strong cold front or trough looks to push Maria away quickly from wherever she ends up near the US east coast sometime around the 27-30th time frame. So waves could still be rough towards that time period.
Yeah, we sail out of NYC on the 30th. Last time we had a heavy seas was after Hurricane Joaquin, iirc, and it was 20ft seas and bigger on occasion, you could smell the boat coming I'm sure.

Being from Bermuda, cruising is the most cost effective way to go home, so it's always a roll of the dice when I book a few months out, just have to hope for the best.
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Old 09-22-2017, 01:50 PM
 
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Ah, of corse it does....Lee may be trying to come back from the grave! Its remnants looked ragged earlier but satellite pass earlier today revealed a nice closed low level circulation but was lacking any storms to come back to life with. And now this afternoon storms have popped up near its center so don't be surprised if Lee returns, but its still in North Central Atlantic, headed away from everyone.
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Old 09-23-2017, 08:49 AM
 
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And now Lee wants to get in on the loop dee loops...but no threat to land. And so so so so small!

11amEST/AST: Winds 45mph, moving N 2mph, pressure 1007mb. Currently located about 900 miles E of Bermuda, or about 1,330 miles WSW of the Azores. Expected to make a loop in general area it's in now of the North central Atlantic, away from any land. Very small system, Tropical Storm force winds only go out about 35 miles from storm center. Could actually become a hurricane in a few days, but again no threat to land in sight at this time.



(Lee circled in blue
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