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Old 10-09-2017, 08:48 AM
 
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11aEST/AST Monday 9Oct2017: Tropical Depression 17 has become Tropical Storm Ophelia in the far eastern Atlantic. Winds 40mph, moving NNE 5mph, pressure 1008mb. Only threat to land is maybe the Azores islands in Eastern Atlantic at this time. Could become a hurricane.

Official information from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issued at 5/11am/pmEST here: National Hurricane Center

Satellite imagery/loops taken every 30 minutes (available 25 minutes after taken) here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...L_floater.html

Atlantic - Ophelia forms October 9, 2017-img_2665.png
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Old 10-09-2017, 06:18 PM
 
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5pEST/AST Monday 9Oct2017: Winds 45mph, moving NE 3mph, pressure 1005mb.
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Old 10-09-2017, 06:23 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Saw this thread pop up and to be honest was scared to see the path. lol. Happy to see it now.


Wonder how close predictions came with 15 named storms.
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Old 10-09-2017, 06:44 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Saw this thread pop up and to be honest was scared to see the path. lol. Happy to see it now.

Wonder how close predictions came with 15 named storms.
Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Here you go – the official NOAA May 25 prediction forecast an above average season with a 70 percent likelihood of 11 to 17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

To date we've had:

15 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 hurricanes Category 3 or higher

As of today, 52 days are left until the end of the 2017 hurricane season.
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Old 10-10-2017, 05:43 AM
 
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Looks like they've done a good job overall on the early predictions! Hopefully things quiet down for the season.

5aEST/AST Tuesday 10Oct2017: Winds 50mph, moving SE 3mph, pressure 1002mb.

Sunrise earlier:
Atlantic - Ophelia forms October 9, 2017-img_2675.png

Cone map (shows only where the storm center may go in time):
Atlantic - Ophelia forms October 9, 2017-img_2676.png
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Old 10-10-2017, 06:27 AM
 
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Waiting for the loop de loop back. What US state hasn't been hit yet this year?
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Old 10-10-2017, 10:29 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ersatz View Post
Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Here you go – the official NOAA May 25 prediction forecast an above average season with a 70 percent likelihood of 11 to 17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

To date we've had:

15 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 hurricanes Category 3 or higher

As of today, 52 days are left until the end of the 2017 hurricane season.

Thanks! Nice call by NOAA there. Maybe we'll do a summary in the General thread when season is done.

Quote:
Originally Posted by newtovenice View Post
Waiting for the loop de loop back. What US state hasn't been hit yet this year?
lmao
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Old 10-10-2017, 12:45 PM
 
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GFS and Euro models indicate Ophelia may try to curve up nearing or clipping portions of Portugal, Spain, France, UK, Ireland region this coming weekend / early next week. Exact path still unknown this far out in time but a decent strength storm for any areas it hits is likely.


Atlantic - Ophelia forms October 9, 2017-img_2685.png
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Old 10-10-2017, 07:50 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Ophelia is actually pretty! Maybe its just from this wind map. Havent seen a Satellite photo of her

https://twitter.com/JimCantore/statu...83591550775296
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Old 10-11-2017, 05:02 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Western Europe landfall?

https://twitter.com/joecioffi/status/918102823002345472
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