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Old 10-20-2017, 04:38 PM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920

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There is already an estimate published in Bloomberg for expected damage in Japan. 25-35 billion USD. That report claimed the Japanese are far more prepared for these cyclones.
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Old 10-20-2017, 06:41 PM
 
4,338 posts, read 2,201,663 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pbmaise View Post
There is already an estimate published in Bloomberg for expected damage in Japan. 25-35 billion USD. That report claimed the Japanese are far more prepared for these cyclones.
That research company is totally off in their numbers. Forecast is to weaken considerably by the time it nears mainland Japan. Like 85/90mph or so near Tokyo. Article could have been written better to say if it maintained its current state but it didn't so poorly done imo.
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Old 10-20-2017, 06:48 PM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920
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Old 10-20-2017, 07:00 PM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
That research company is totally off in their numbers. Forecast is to weaken considerably by the time it nears mainland Japan. Like 85/90mph or so near Tokyo. Article could have been written better to say if it maintained its current state but it didn't so poorly done imo.
Metro Tokyo population is 37,800,000 according to Wikipedia. Just one lost working day among this population is in the billions.

However, I think you are right and that damage estimate by Bloomberg was just click bait to drive readers.

Another website claims this is the "World's most powerful storm"....at the current moment. That one is certainly lame.
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Old 10-20-2017, 07:26 PM
 
4,338 posts, read 2,201,663 times
Reputation: 1591
Quote:
Originally Posted by pbmaise View Post
Metro Tokyo population is 37,800,000 according to Wikipedia. Just one lost working day among this population is in the billions.

However, I think you are right and that damage estimate by Bloomberg was just click bait to drive readers.

Another website claims this is the "World's most powerful storm"....at the current moment. That one is certainly lame.
True...ya article didn't say how it came to that conclusion on amount so that very well could be part of it. I assumed it meant that much damage only.
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Old 10-22-2017, 12:58 AM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920
Pgtw 220300
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen pearl harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Typhoon 25w (lan) warning nr 027
downgraded from super typhoon 25w
02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only
---
warning position:
220000z --- near 27.8n 133.8e
movement past six hours - 010 degrees at 23 kts
position accurate to within 020 nm
position based on eye fixed by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 125 kt, gusts 150 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
becoming extratropical
radius of 064 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
040 nm southeast quadrant
030 nm southwest quadrant
030 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant
100 nm southeast quadrant
050 nm southwest quadrant
050 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 270 nm northeast quadrant
280 nm southeast quadrant
250 nm southwest quadrant
290 nm northwest quadrant
repeat posit: 27.8n 133.8e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
221200z --- 32.1n 136.7e
max sustained winds - 110 kt, gusts 135 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
becoming extratropical
radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant
070 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
070 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 150 nm northeast quadrant
155 nm southeast quadrant
120 nm southwest quadrant
135 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 360 nm northeast quadrant
375 nm southeast quadrant
300 nm southwest quadrant
360 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 24 hr posit: 040 deg/ 33 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
230000z --- 37.1n 142.1e
max sustained winds - 080 kt, gusts 100 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical
radius of 064 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant
070 nm southeast quadrant
075 nm southwest quadrant
060 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 220 nm northeast quadrant
215 nm southeast quadrant
180 nm southwest quadrant
180 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 445 nm northeast quadrant
410 nm southeast quadrant
340 nm southwest quadrant
395 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 050 deg/ 41 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
231200z --- 42.3n 150.2e
max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical
radius of 050 kt winds - 140 nm northeast quadrant
220 nm southeast quadrant
190 nm southwest quadrant
130 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 445 nm northeast quadrant
430 nm southeast quadrant
370 nm southwest quadrant
335 nm northwest quadrant
---
remarks:
220300z position near 28.9n 134.5e.
Typhoon 25w (lan), located approximately 330 nm east-northeast of
kadena ab, has tracked at 23 knots over the past six hours. Maximum
significant wave height at 220000z is 41 feet. Next warnings at
220900z, 221500z, 222100z and 230300z. Refer to tropical depression
27w (twentyseven) warnings (wtpn33 pgtw) for six-hourly updates.//
nnnn
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Old 10-22-2017, 01:02 AM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920
During the transition as it approaches Tokyo winds drop however, the radius of 64 knot winds goes from 70 nm to 130 nm. Almost all of Tokyo is going to be hit with at least 64 knot winds.
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Old 10-23-2017, 03:13 AM
 
Location: Big Island of Hawaii & HOT BuOYS Sailing Vessel
5,278 posts, read 2,234,920 times
Reputation: 1920
Very little in regards to damage reports coming from Japan.

Total of just five deaths reported so far.
https://japantoday.com/category/nati...-leaves-5-dead


One person died trying to save his boat when he jumped in the water after his engine failed when trying to reach a line tossed to him. He was 70yo. Temporary scaffolding is not very wind proof and should be avoided during high winds. That is how second person died. Two people found in cars that flooded.

Must expensive damage appears to be the hundreds of cancelled flights and fact manufacturers like Toyota shut down their entire operations for the day. Of course some flooding was reported as well as washed out roads.
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