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Old 07-15-2008, 07:17 PM
 
Location: O-Town
1,781 posts, read 6,945,676 times
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Same here in Orlando with the hot dry may.
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Old 08-02-2008, 07:32 AM
 
737 posts, read 1,644,709 times
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I'm glad to see the rain coming back to Florida myself. The rain pattern is starting to get back to some what normal here. We really need the rain not just in Florida but all over the USA.

I pray we ain't hit for along long time but I am preparing my house I have installed steel doors and shutter to my house intend to get the new upgraded hurricane roof and make sure my roof is attached to my house which is a hip roof which is good.

I pray Flroida ain't hit for years to come again. The last hurricane to hit here was many years ago. I also have family in Orlando and Orlando the edge anyways was hit pretty bad. Kind of like Polk county the edges were hit my father lives in Wachula which was directly hit. I live on the outskirts of Polk county and got hit pretty bad myself and it was scary my Father was directly in the storm. On the way to his house which was hit pretty heavy it was really bad but to my understand none or very few lost their lives. They say most lives are lost due to storm surge and or people wondering around after the storm with the devatation. You know live wires unsturdy tree's going thu an unsafe house for personal stuff ect..

Last edited by Starlady01; 08-02-2008 at 07:41 AM..
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Old 08-05-2008, 02:14 PM
 
Location: Tunkhannock
937 posts, read 2,881,184 times
Reputation: 330
After Hurricane Charley, I will not trust the forcasts again.
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Old 08-05-2008, 02:16 PM
 
Location: Tunkhannock
937 posts, read 2,881,184 times
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yOU NEED TO BE PREPARED NO MATTER WHAT! A prediction is only a PREDICTION.
Anything can happen.
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Old 08-10-2008, 06:16 PM
 
495 posts, read 2,323,473 times
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Here is one of the latest long term computer models ten days from now.

Three hurricanes close to Florida.

Long term computer models are not to be taken literally. Especially the locations of a hurricane that doesnt even exist yet.



That being said the macro models are showing steering currents today similar to Aug 2004.

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1004 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2008

VALID 12Z THU AUG 14 2008 - 12Z SUN AUG 17 2008

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES PAINT A QUITE SIMILAR AND AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE
PATTERN ALOFT OVER NOAM FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...BUT STILL OFFER
SOME CONTINUITY DIFFERENCES WITH EMBEDDED SMALLER SCALE WEATHER
FEATURES. IN THIS PATTERN...

A SUMMERTIME WRN NOAM RIDGE BUILDS IN
ADVANCE OF AN AMPLIFYING NE PAC TROUGH. A DEEP CYCLONE DIGS
SHARPLY FROM SW-CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE US TO THE LEE OF THE
RIDGE...LEADING TO A RETROGRESSION OF AN EARLY WEEK ERN NOAM
TROUGH BACK TO THE E-CENTRAL US. THE COOLING SYSTEM SHOULD ALSO
ACT TO FOCUS A LINGERING PERIOD OF POTENTIALLY LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS DEEP GULF MOISTURE FEEDS/POOLS DOWNSTREAM. THE EXTENT
OF MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/CLOSED LOW DIGGING DIFFERS BETWEEN
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES BUT THERE IS A CLEAR RECENT TREND TO FAVOR AN
INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED SOLUTION. EVEN ACTING CONSERVATIVELY FOR
AUGUST...AN AMPLITUDE THAT DEVELOPS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE FULL
RANGE OF MODEL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBER SOLUTIONS WOULD STILL PRODUCE
QUITE A POTENT TROUGH WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS UPWARDS OF 3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL.

THIS WOULD BE SIMILAR TO THE EARLY TO MID AUGUST 2004 PATTERN
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Old 08-10-2008, 06:27 PM
 
495 posts, read 2,323,473 times
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The latest prospect, just a tropical low not even a depression yet.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200892_model.gif (broken link)


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Old 08-11-2008, 08:03 AM
 
495 posts, read 2,323,473 times
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Dang!

Another computer model, 10 days out:



It shows Hurricane Fae, hitting the coast about at West Palm and comming up the coast to Jax and Savannah.

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Old 08-15-2008, 03:39 PM
 
495 posts, read 2,323,473 times
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OK, here is the latest.

Tropical Storm Fay.

It sure shows how wrong those long term computer models can be.

Whether it becomes a hurricane depends on how long it stays over land before it hits florida. So keep calm and dont panic because:

WE ALL GONNA DIE!

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/northatlantic/track_early1.png (broken link)
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Old 08-15-2008, 04:32 PM
 
172 posts, read 845,051 times
Reputation: 238
If it goes up through Florida, I wouldn't be AS concerned. In that scenario, it would be a strong TS/ minimal hurricane, so damage would be limited.

If that thing manages to swing into the gulf (and the weaker it stays for now, the more westerly it will likely go)...then the panhandle is in serious trouble. Time to start doing the final prep on your hurricane kits!
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Old 08-15-2008, 05:32 PM
 
Location: where my heart is
5,643 posts, read 9,615,340 times
Reputation: 1661
Default Tuesday is the first day of school

Quote:
Originally Posted by vicarian View Post
If it goes up through Florida, I wouldn't be AS concerned. In that scenario, it would be a strong TS/ minimal hurricane, so damage would be limited.

If that thing manages to swing into the gulf (and the weaker it stays for now, the more westerly it will likely go)...then the panhandle is in serious trouble. Time to start doing the final prep on your hurricane kits!
Monday I have to go to inservice training, 25 miles away. Wonderful timing.
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