U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 05-09-2018, 05:54 PM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Latest GFS models showing a landfalling tropical system week after next?
Haha! The GFS 300hr storm bug will never be coded out!

And our Invest 90E in the Pacific looks like its on its last leg.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 05-10-2018, 05:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,093 posts, read 56,544,043 times
Reputation: 12755
Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Latest GFS models showing a landfalling tropical system week after next?
Oh wow, you beat me to it!


Last 6 runs in a row have something. Interesting. As the consistency continues, confidence increases but this far out we'll need to see consistent for another few days.


When ever we get a SouthEast High Pressure, Bermuda High, the pattern is favorable for development because of the clockwise flow. GFS is picking up on this. Still far out, so much can change with the atmosphere and pattern

9 days out Upper Height Pattern
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-10-2018, 08:46 AM
 
Location: Deep 13
1,139 posts, read 951,901 times
Reputation: 3463
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Haha! The GFS 300hr storm bug will never be coded out!

And our Invest 90E in the Pacific looks like its on its last leg.
Damn! I was all excited.

Getting tired of dragging hoses everywhere to water things.

No precipitation predicted for the next 10 days.....or it keeps drying up.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-10-2018, 10:28 AM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576
Invest 90E in Pacific with last ditch flare up today trying to obtain Tropical Depression status before it meets its dimise. Dry air just to the west side of storm now.

And this note from Tropical Tidbits for North Eastern Gulf of Mexico for next few days (different system then one talked about in above post):
https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/...452161536?s=21

Last edited by Psychoma; 05-10-2018 at 10:53 AM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-10-2018, 12:01 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,093 posts, read 56,544,043 times
Reputation: 12755
GFS12z today again has something. Tis the season for crazy land GFS. lol


Hits Florida west side, crosses over, and comes up the East coast (off the coast)
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-10-2018, 02:05 PM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
GFS12z today again has something. Tis the season for crazy land GFS. lol


Hits Florida west side, crosses over, and comes up the East coast (off the coast)
Watching its genesis point on last run - off of Nicaragua east coast - and wind direction I'm wondering if it's trying to say a CAG (Central America Gyre) will form? These can spin off tropical systems. Time will tell.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-10-2018, 02:38 PM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Invest 90E in Pacific with last ditch flare up today trying to obtain Tropical Depression status before it meets its dimise. Dry air just to the west side of storm now.
Invest 90E has been able to squeak out enough convection and structure to obtain Tropical Depression One-E status. Satellite estimated: Winds 35mph, pressure 1007mb, moving WNW 5mph, 1,300+ miles offshore and threat to none. Won't last long either.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-11-2018, 06:25 AM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576
May or may not end up being "tropical" in the end but GFS, the new test version of GFS (FV3-GFS), and the Euro picking up "something" in the east Gulf of Mexico early to mid next week (May 14-16th time frame or so). Hopefully some scattered showers to those who need it though.

GFS:
2018 Hurricane Season (General Thread)-img_8695.png

Euro:
2018 Hurricane Season (General Thread)-img_8697.png
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-11-2018, 08:40 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,093 posts, read 56,544,043 times
Reputation: 12755
https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/st...55942587351040
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 05-12-2018, 04:18 PM
 
4,270 posts, read 2,159,679 times
Reputation: 1576
Yep, the crazy GFS runs for week of the 20th of May was picking up a CAG (Central American Gyre...large scale spin over Central America), which can throw out a Tropical system(s) on the East or West coast sides of Central America but hard to predict if one will actually transpire from it:
2018 Hurricane Season (General Thread)-img_8755.jpg
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top