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1Jul18 8aPDT/11aEDT: Early Sunday morning newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E (formed Saturday) organized enough to become Tropical Storm Fabio well South of the Mexico coast. Estimated winds 50mph, moving WNW 13mph, pressure 1000mb. No threat to land.
Sunrise imagery courtesy GOES-East (formally known as GOES16) US satellite launched in late 2016, Full Disk GeoColor imagery screen shot of original 10848 x 10848px image found here: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOE...6_FullDisk.php
Conditions are optimal for possible rapid intensification...could be a Cat3 or so early this week (intensity guidance models):
But not likely to last long as cooler waters lay in wait (rapid weakening when hits that green color in the mid 20's temp Celsius):
Nice agreement in storm track modelling keeping it out to sea:
And official 'cone map' from the NHC (cone only represents where center point of storm will go over time, and wind field (orange circle), and letter inside dot is if Major Hurricane (M) (means Cat3 or higher), Hurricane (H), Tropical Storm (S) or back to Tropical Depression (D):
Official updates for the East Pacific basin come from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) based in Miami, FL with updates released every 6hours (every 3 hours if Watches or Warnings are issued) at 2 & 8am/pm PDT (5 & 11am/pm EDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
2Jul18 8aPDT/11aEDT: Winds 75mph, moving WNW 9mph, pressure 989mb. Now a Cat1 hurricane. Waves around Fabio, over wide open waters, could reach 30ft height by this evening.
4Jul18 2aPDT/5aEDT: Fabio appears to have peaked at about 110mph (just shy of Cat3) Tuesday evening. Now weakening as starts to reach cooler waters. Winds 105mph, moving WNW 15mph, pressure 968mb.
5Jul18 8pPDT/11pEDT - Winds 40mph, barely a Tropical Storm, moving WNW 15mph, pressure 1004mb. NHC says swells from the earlier stronger version of Fabio reaching the S CA and Baja coast.
6Jul18 8aPDT/11aEDT - Winds 35mph, moving WNW 15mph, pressure 1006mb. Has fallen apart into just a remnant Low pressure. No more advisories will be issued by the NHC. An archive of previous official advisories can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/FABIO.shtml?
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