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Old 09-04-2018, 01:42 PM
 
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4Sept18 1pCDT/2pEDT: Winds 65mph(100km/h), moving NW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 1001mb. This is a lopsided system, storms/winds are really only on the North and East sides, outside of that there's really nothing there.

240pCDT/340pEDT: Aircraft recon just went through the center and found pressure up to around 1006mb(pending review) (higher = sign of weakening) and winds only about 52mph max after reading higher winds and lower pressure about 2hours earlier. Storm may have peaked unless recon missed a heavier squall line of storms.

Surface winds are top right image of chart...don't see anything above 45knots(52mph).
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3224.png

Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3225.png

They may keep intensity up just because some models still show a quick spinup right before landfall (like the NAM) but it's running out of time to do so.

Last edited by Psychoma; 09-04-2018 at 01:51 PM..
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Old 09-04-2018, 02:49 PM
 
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4Sept18 4pCDT/5pEDT: Winds 70mph(110km/h), moving NW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 1000mb. Seems to be the story of Gordon...suddenly spin up, suddenly spin down, suddenly spin up, etc etc. It's been none stop with this pattern. After looking weaker last recon just over an hour ago(after spinning up mid morning), weather radar from land is showing 70mph winds on storm now...looks like the northern eyewall just South of Pensacola, FL & Gulf Shores, AL.

Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3230.jpg
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Old 09-04-2018, 04:04 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Radar and Satellite loop past 4hrs. 1-5pmCST. Left metars on to see who's reporting what.


Also NHC doesn't see it getting to Cat 1 now.


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Old 09-04-2018, 06:06 PM
 
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4Sept18 7pCDT/8pEDT: Winds 70mph(110km/h), moving NW 14mph(22km/h), pressure 999mb. Aircraft recon just flew in for another pass, I'm seeing around 60mph in their readings:
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3237.png
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3236.png

Tornado Watch up for portions of Alabama and Florida through the night:
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3232.jpg

Obs:
-NOAA buoy about 10miles S Orange Beach, AL: winds 54mph, gust 60.
-NOAA obs site Dauphin Island, AL: winds 45mph, gust 54.
-Gulf Shores, AL wind gust 39mph.
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3235.jpg
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Old 09-04-2018, 06:06 PM
 
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Did get .65" today, but just our normal T - storms. Should dry out a little for Wends as the the sinking air around the TS will help cap some of the T- storm growth.
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Old 09-04-2018, 08:34 PM
 
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4Sept18 930pCDT/1030pEDT: Near that main core band around the North side of storm center/eye I'm seeing 40-50mph sustained winds, gust 60-70mph range being reported (plenty of holes in observation networks still). But Dauphin Island, AL gust recorded 71mph, Fort Morgan, AL measuring 63mph sustained, gust 77mph...wind coming across the open Gulf waters.

Preliminary 1 fatality being reported in FL from a falling tree.

Can see the surge coming up with high tide in these two gages(Pensacola & Dauphin Island) :
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3242.jpg

Nearing landfall (when lowest pressure area crosses land):
(Radar left, radar pictorial representation of wind speed & direction in color form)
Atlantic - Gordon forms September 3, 2018-img_3247.jpg
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Old 09-04-2018, 09:11 PM
 
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4Sept18 10pCDT/11pEDT: And landfall near AL/MS border. Expect to see heavy scattered rains, flooding concerns, scattered tornadoes, scattered power lines and trees down through the night and into tomorrow across the region.
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Old 09-05-2018, 12:09 AM
 
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5Sept18 1aCDT/2aEDT: Winds 50mph(85km/h), moving NW 14mph(22km/h), pressure 1002mb. Hurricane Warnings replaced by Tropical Storm Warnings (winds 39+mph). Storm surge watch/warnings still up as winds shift direction as storm center passes and surge changes direction can effect other areas (water pushed by the wind direction).
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Old 09-05-2018, 05:03 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Current Radar.. Not a lot of rain on the map now.




Rainfall total estimates based on radar past 12hrs only, (Not actual rainfall). Looks like Mobile Alabama just missed the heavy stuff but Pensacola got hit

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Old 09-05-2018, 05:18 AM
 
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Lucky people just west of AL will be in the fetch and get plenty of rain. I am 200 miles too far to the east.
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