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Old 10-21-2018, 07:13 AM
 
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19Oct18 2pPDT/4pCDT/5pEDT: Tropical Depression 23E (TD23E) has become Tropical Storm Vicente just off the S Mexico & Guatemala coast and at the time had an estimated wind 40mph(65km/h), moving NW 2mph(4km/h), pressure 1005mb.

21Oct18 2aPDT/4aCDT/5aEDT estimated wind 50mph(85km/h), moving WSW 9mph(15km/h), pressure 1002mb. No current Watches/Warnings as storm is pulling away from the coast and wind field currently small reach from center. Storm is forecast to turn back more W/NW by Monday though but expected to weaken as well. Tropical Storm force winds (39+mph) only extend out up to 35miles(55km) from storm center.

Continued rainfall this week of 3-6inches, possible 10inches some locations, along the Mexico coast, flood and mudslide threat. Storm will follow the path of some previous tropical system dumping additional rains into already saturated grounds.

Vicente, or its remnants in a few days, look to near the Manzanillo / Puerto Vallarta Mexico region of W Mexico later this week.

Possible rain totals via the EURO model, totals from today through early Thursday morning, keep in mind this will also include totals from Hurricane Willa that's moving into the region currently as well, totals in inches.
Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-v4.jpg

Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-v3.jpg

Official updates for East Pacific basin storms comes from the US National Hurricane Center based in Miami, FL. Updates are issued at 2 & 8am/pmPDT(5 & 11am/pmEDT) (If Watches/Warnings issued then updates are also added at 5 & 11am/pmPDT (2 & 8am/pmEDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Cone map (Shows: Current storm wind field at storm center(orange: winds 39mph+, red: 74mph+), Classification (Black/white dots with letters: "D" = Depression, "S" = Tropical Storm, "H" = Cat1 or Cat2 Hurricane, "M" = Major Hurricane (Cat3+)), any coastal tropical Watches/Warnings, and the "cone" is where the center of the storm could be over time (it's NOT the size of the storm), effects of the storm can be felt outside this area:
Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-v1.jpg

Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-v2.jpg


Some Satellite imagery sources:
-Tropical Tidbits: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/
-GOESeast(GOES16): https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
-WeatherNerds: https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/floaters/

Last edited by Psychoma; 10-21-2018 at 07:27 AM..
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Old 10-21-2018, 03:54 PM
 
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21Oct18 2pPDT/4pCDT/5pEDT: Estimated wind 40mph(65km/h), moving W 10mph(17km/h), pressure 1005mb. Storm steadily weakening and expected to dissipate soon but regardless heavy scattered rains from future remnants still expected in areas mentioned above as they follow Willa into the coast this week.

Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-v21.jpg
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Old 10-22-2018, 05:36 AM
 
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22Oct18 2aPDT/4aCDT/5aEDT: Estimated wind 45mph(75km/h), moving W 10mph(17km/h), pressure 1004mb.
Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-img_4575.png
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Old 10-23-2018, 05:35 AM
 
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23Oct18 2aPDT/4aCDT/5aEDT: Estimated wind 35mph(55km/h), moving NNW 12mph(19km/h), pressure 1007mb. Weakened to Tropical Depression, essentially a scattered rain maker. Will dump additional moisture into the region just South of where Willa will travel and track up across after it. Rainfall from Vicente of 3-6inches, isolated 10 inches, portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima & Jalisco, Mexico.

Pacific - Vicente forms October 19, 2018-img_4606.png
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Old 10-23-2018, 08:53 PM
 
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23Oct18 8aPDT/10aCDT/11aEDT - What was left of storm center is now over mainland Mexico. Storm has fallen apart an no more advisories will be issued. An archive of previous advisories can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/VICENTE.shtml?
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