U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 07-11-2019, 08:55 AM
 
17,268 posts, read 11,379,638 times
Reputation: 5776

Advertisements

Upper levels don't favor this one.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 07-11-2019, 08:58 AM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
11Jul19 1020aEDT/920aCDT - recon flying through storm finding Tropical Storm force winds but well SE of storm center(s). Don’t know what they’ll call it as on 11aEDT advisory given its lack of organization at the moment but also need to not confuse the public with terminology (same, TD, TS or Sub-TS).
PTC2 officially becomes Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico, Disorganized at the moment but its there.


Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Upper levels don't favor this one.
Shear blowing across it from N to S disrupting system organizing but supposed to fade some then a little more shear comes back into play. Question is what does it do over the next day.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-11-2019, 09:43 AM
 
17,268 posts, read 11,379,638 times
Reputation: 5776
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
PTC2 officially becomes Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico, Disorganized at the moment but its there.



Shear blowing across it from N to S disrupting system organizing but supposed to fade some then a little more shear comes back into play. Question is what does it do over the next day.
The next 18 hours should tell us. Plus dry air aloft to the northeast is being pulled into the system. All the high cloud tops are well away from the center.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-12-2019, 03:35 PM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
Fri 12July2019:
Central Pacific:
-A tropical wave is moving Westward over 1,500 miles SW of the S tip of Baja. NHC giving it low 0% chance of development at the moment. If it stays West it would pass well South of Hawaii.
Eastern Pacific:
-(see line above as it's in the western edge of what's considered the East Pacific)
-Tropical Depression Four-E (TD4E) forms about 340miles(555km) SW of Manzanillo, Mexico, winds 35mph(55km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1006mb. Expected to turn out to sea. May be able to eek out a name as a Tropical Storm before it falls apart by early next week.
Atlantic:
-See Barry thread.
-Invest 93L in the central Atlantic. NHC giving it a low 20% chance of development at the moment and says conditions look unfavorable by Sunday.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-16-2019, 08:13 PM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
Tue 16July2019:
Atlantic: All quiet once more.
East Pacific:
-Invest 97E (disorganized blob, number just for tracking purposes) South of Guatemala has a medium 50% chance of developing this weekend. Looks to keep heading out to sea.
-Another group of disorganized showers much further out in the Pacific has a low 10-30% chance of development.
Central Pacific: All quiet for now.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-19-2019, 08:31 PM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
Fri 19July2019:
Atlantic: All quiet. History tells us activity should start picking up in August.
East Pacific:
-Invest 97E several hundred miles S of the S tip of Baja has high 70% chance of development next 5 days. Should stay out at sea.
-Invest 98E much further out in the Pacific at low 10% chance of development.
Central Pacific: Area of disorganized scattered storms just South of Hawaii has a lot 10% chance of development next 5 days.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-20-2019, 03:28 PM
 
17,268 posts, read 11,379,638 times
Reputation: 5776
Another 21 days should start to heat up well east of FL about 3000 miles.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-21-2019, 04:12 AM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
21July2019:
Atlantic:
-invest “94L” (number given to disorganized blob of scattered showers with development potential for tracking purposes) pops up overnight near the Turks & Caicos Islands heading towards The Bahamas. NHC giving it low 10-20% chance of development next 5-days. Very small, very disorganized at the moment.
E Pacific:
-invest “97E” at high 90% chance of development. Looked better organized a few hours ago versus now but likely to be a Tropical Depression or named storm shortly.
C Pacific:
-Scattered showers S of Hawaii still at low 10% chance of development.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-21-2019, 07:21 PM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
21July2019 8pEDT/AST:
Atlantic: Invest 94L in the Bahamas chance of development lowered to just low 10% chance. NHC says in just a couple days winds will be too strong for development. A front is slowly dropping down towards the southeast US. This blob called 94L, or what little exist of it at the moment, is expected to run into it and be pulled up in the form of additional moisture raising the chance of scattered showers along the SE US coast and across portions of FL this week.
E Pacific: Invest 97E remains at high 90% chance of development this week.
C Pacific: Disorganized showers S of Hawaii still low 10% chance of development.

Last edited by Psychoma; 07-21-2019 at 07:38 PM..
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-22-2019, 06:39 AM
 
4,951 posts, read 2,384,949 times
Reputation: 1688
Mon 22July2019 8aEDT/AST:
Atlantic: invest 94L now 30% chance of development. Looks a little better this AM in that it actually has a few scattered showers & storms with it. Still disorganized, still just a tropical wave / trough like structure so despite any visual spin you may see, internally its more like a miniature front. Only small window left to become anything. Approaching cold front dropping into the SE US this week to scoot it off away. May help increase rainfall coastal regions of the SE US.

E Pacific: invest 97E has organized enough to become Tropical Depression 5E (TD5E). Heading away from land, likely named soon this week.

C Pacific: Disorganized blob SSW of Hawaii no longer any chance of development.

Last edited by Psychoma; 07-22-2019 at 07:20 AM..
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 05:53 PM.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top