U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 03-25-2019, 12:12 PM
 
Location: SE Michigan
779 posts, read 474,053 times
Reputation: 615

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Odd to see one that far south. Think there was one not long ago near the same area.
I believe this is only the fourth ever recorded forming in the South Atlantic. Last one was in 2010, the first wasn’t recorded until the 1990s.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 03-27-2019, 07:01 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
2019 Hurricane Awareness Tour dates announced, all times are local, subject to change:

April 8 - Veracruz, Mexico (Veracruz Int'l Airport 10a-2p)
April 9 - Cozumel, Mexico (Cozumel Int'l Airport 10a-2p)
April 10 - San Jose, Costa Rica (Juan Santamaria Int'l Airport 8:30a-2p)
April 11 - Aruba (Queen Beatrice Int'l Airport 10a-2p)
April 12 - Curacao (Curacao Int'l Airport 10a-2p)
April 13 - Aguadilla, Puerto Rico (Rafael Hernandez Airport 10a-5p)

US Mainland (Times TBD):
May 6 - Quonset, RI
May 7 - Harrisburg, PA
May 8 - Roanoke, VA
May 9 - Charlotte, NC (Webinar for 4th, 5th & 6th grades will be available 10a EDT, live from Charlotte, schools/homeschoolers can sign up here: http://www.hurricanescience.org/resources/nhcwebinar/ to watch)
May 10 - Brunswick, GA

All locations:
-Tour two of the actual Hurricane Hunter aircraft: NOAA P-3 and US Air Force WC-130J
-Meet the flight crews
-Meet some of the NHC hurricane forecasters
-Meet with local NWS Meteorologist & Emergency Managers (US only)
-Learn about weather safety & preparedness

Last edited by Psychoma; 03-27-2019 at 07:30 PM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-30-2019, 06:27 AM
 
16,238 posts, read 10,974,356 times
Reputation: 5393
Quote:
Originally Posted by unobtainium View Post
I believe this is only the fourth ever recorded forming in the South Atlantic. Last one was in 2010, the first wasn’t recorded until the 1990s.
Odd ball area to see them in. But with a warming planet and all the freaky things going on, the day will come we will see them in odd ball months of the year.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-04-2019, 08:32 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
73,149 posts, read 56,613,323 times
Reputation: 12800
Colorado State says below normal Atlantic season with a weakening Nino. But 13 named storms

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/st...18509669163008
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-05-2019, 04:48 AM
 
Location: Williamsburg, VA
3,551 posts, read 2,007,636 times
Reputation: 10337
Glad to hear this!
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-06-2019, 08:13 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
Reminder that even below average seasons, it "only takes one"...1992 had only 6 named storms but 'A' storm was Andrew, the last Cat5 to make landfall in the US.

A Tropical Weather conference took place this week in Texas with the goal "to bring experts together in a forum conducive to producing active hurricane preparedness & shared knowledge, so that we may keep the public informed & safe". From social media feeds it appeared a lot of emphasis on better communicating risk, education, and better building codes.

Here's some standouts from social feeds I saw from it figured I would mention, random order:
-Data from 1963-2012 (it can take years to analyze data so that's why not up to current date) shows 88% of US hurricane deaths are from water (surge 49%, inland flooding 27%, in ocean 12% (ships, swimmers, etc)).
-Populations continue to grow along US coast = more exposed to risk
-PTC Advisories and cone maps (Potential Tropical Cyclone) issued before storm named if high chance it's going to, a newer-ish product, proven successful: lead times with those systems increased 6 to 30 hours per storm when issued, only 1 didn't develop in 2017, average lead time increased 2017-2018 by 15.8 hours, Florence was 30-hour lead time before being named storm, Michael was 12 hour lead time.
-Communicating Risk: "It's only a Cat1", but from 2010-2018 Cat1's in the US caused 175 direct deaths and $103 billion in damages.

Most common quotes before, during, after a hurricane showing we need to communicate better (and need to continue learning/developing tech/science on the subject):
-"My house is elevated, I though we would be just fine"
-"I heard the forecast, but I figured it would turn like they always do"
-"Hurricanes usually hit west of here, I didn't expect this"
-"It's never flooded here before"
-"I saw the Euro model, I guess we'd better change our pans"
-"I was watching the models, looked like it would miss us"
-"I thought these floods came once in 100 years"
-"It's just a Tropical Storm"
-"The storm has weakened from a Cat4 to a Cat2"
-"It was nothing when I looked a few days ago"
-"We can't afford to evacuate, where would I go"
-"I've been through a Cat4, it was nothing"
-"I live a hundred miles from the coast, I didn't expect this"
-"I didn't know it would be this bad, I'll never stay again"
-"This wasn't bad, I'll never leave again"
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-09-2019, 04:24 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
Side note: What does your National Hurricane Center (NHC) do in the ‘off-season?
-Finalizing reports on last years hurricanes.
-Hurricane awareness tours across US(May) and Caribbean(April).
-Honing in on skills, computer models and new products.
-Training with cruise ship and shipping industry reps (March).
-Training with NWS offices including mock breifings on fictional storms and fielding questions.
-Training with Emergency Managers & decision makers.

As former NHC Director Max Mayfield said: “The battle against hurricanes is won in the offseason”
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-11-2019, 06:30 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
11Apr19:
-GFS model continues to develop a potential storm in East Pacific near Costa Rica - Guatemala region for Easter weekend into that week potentially. It’s alone in its assessment so far though & and even its replacement FV3-GFS says no, but figure I’d mention since actively has been quiet & model still showing it at under 200hour time frame (GFS has a history of creating ‘ghost storms’ in long range further out then that so we’ll see). East Pacific hurricane season begins May 15th.

-All quiet in Atlantic.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-16-2019, 07:25 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
2019 Hurricane Awareness Tour:
April 8 - Veracruz, Mexico
April 9 - Cozumel, Mexico
April 10 - San Jose, Costa Rica
April 11 - Aruba
April 12 - Curacao
April 13 - Aguadilla, Puerto Rico
US Air Force says more than 20,000 people attended the events last week. More info: https://www.afrc.af.mil/News/Article...cane-prepared/
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-16-2019, 07:31 PM
 
4,285 posts, read 2,169,761 times
Reputation: 1576
16April19 - Halfway through April and not surprisingly all quiet. (GFS did lose its ghost storm in East Pacific).

Wind shear remains high (red lines) which is hostile to hurricanes:
2019 Hurricane Season (General Thread)-22b8329a-fff8-4508-ab10-786a556a7c14.gif

Water temps warming for the season. Just one ingredient for a storm but an important one. I outlined in thin white line where water temps are warm enough to support Tropical development...typically needs 26-27degrees C (79-80F) or warmer.
2019 Hurricane Season (General Thread)-eb185c8c-f270-44b4-b894-a99eb06daf26.jpeg

Last edited by Psychoma; 04-16-2019 at 07:39 PM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top