Pacific - Erick forms July 27, 2019

[Psychoma]

Wed 31July2019 11aEDT/8aPDT/5aHST: Estimated winds 120mph(195km/h), moving W 13mph(20km/h), pressure 958mb. Located about 615miles(990km) SE of Hilo, HI; about 830miles(1,335km) ESE of Honolulu, HI. Very small tightly compact storm at the moment. Hurricane force winds (74+mph) extend up to 30miles(45km) from storm center, Tropical Storm force winds (39-73mph) extend up to 125miles(205km). Storm has peaked and is steadily weakening. Local NWS in Hawaii has issued Flash Flood Watch for the Big Island for possible rains/flooding associated with Erick from Thursday through Saturday AM. No real changes...storm expected to continue weakening and pass Hawaii to the South Thursday through Saturday.

[Psychoma]

Wed 31July2019 5pEDT/2pPDT/11aHST: Estimated winds 115mph(185km/h), moving WNW 14mph(22km/h), pressure 960mb. Center located about 535miles(860km) SE of Hilo, HI; about 745miles(1,200km) SE of Honolulu, HI. Barely a Cat3 now. Continues to weaken. Wind shear out of the Southwest weakening storm as well as pushing convection/storms to the N / NE of the main body which will help Hawaii receive some rain as the main storm passes safely to their South making it's closest pass Thursday evening into late Friday. Wind probability maps from the NHC remain low at Hurricane: 0%, Tropical Storm 58-73mph: 0%, and Tropical Storm 39-57mph: 5-10+% for the Big Island, 0% elsewhere. Waves and rain the main story with Erick it appears.

You can see the NWS forecast at a glance via this page, rain totals, wind gust, wave heights, etc here: https://www.weather.gov/erh/gis_pacific

[Psychoma]

Wed 31July2019 11pEDT/8pPDT/5pHST: Estimated winds 105mph(165km/h), moving W 14mph(22km/h), pressure 967mb. Center located about 480miles(775km) SE of Hilo, HI; about 690miles(1,115km) SE of Honolulu, HI. Cat2, continues to weaken.

[Psychoma]

Thurs 1Aug2019 5aEDT/2aPDT; 11pHST Wed 31July: Estimated winds 90mph(150km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 978mb. Center located about 400miles(645km) SE of Hilo, HI; about 610miles(980km) SE of Honolulu, HI. Cat1 now, continues to weaken. Hurricane force winds (74+mph) extend up to 30miles(45km) from storm center, Tropical Storm force winds (39-73mph) extend up to 125miles(205km). Biggest impacts look to be wave action and heavy scattered rains, especially on east and south facing slopes. Current NWS Hawaii forecast see here: https://www.weather.gov/erh/gis_pacific or on www.weather.gov

[Psychoma]

Fri 2Aug2019 5aEDT/2aPDT; 11pHST Thurs 1Aug: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 996mb. Tropical Storm. Intense wind shear of 40+mph has town Erick apart sending what little convection remains near SE Big Island of Hawaii where heavy scattered rains are moving in now. Erick won't be around much longer. Rain maker / flood risk.

[Psychoma]

Fri 2Aug2019 11pEDT/8pPDT/5pHST: Estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving WNW 9mph(15km/h), pressure 1005mb. Barely winds for a Tropical Storm classification. Wind shear still sending some scattered showers up across the Hawaiian islands this evening. Storm pulling away from Hawaii now.

[Psychoma]

Sat 3Aug2019 11pEDT/8pPDT/5pHST: Estimated winds 35mph(55km/h), moving WNW 14mph(22km/h), pressure 1006mb. Still some left over moisture being blown near the islands but Erick is pretty much gone. Tropical Depression now (winds less than 39mph), dissipates soon.

[Psychoma]

Sun 4Aug2019 5pEDT/2pPDT/11aHST: Estimated winds 35mph(55km/h), moving WNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1007mb. All but gone now. Some left over associated moisture trying to clip Northwest Hawaii.

[Psychoma]

Mon 5Aug2019 - Erick became a Post-Tropical Cyclone far WSW of Hawaii. Just a swirl of clouds, convection(storms) WELL removed from that swirl. NHC will no longer be issuing advisories. An archive of all previous advisories can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2019/ERICK.shtml?