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Yep. Still expected to finally start moving parallel to or just North of parallel to FL coast during the day today though. West side of eye and storm all together has lost a Fair amount of rain/storms on radar (satellite still looks good there though), but once gets moving again may reform that back with help of warm gulf stream waters it’ll be traversing
Cam, thanks ...I see now the 2 High Pressures locking it in place on either side and the Jet stream above.
ABC explained nothing.
Thanks for the Reps, and You're welcome. Yeah, I see very little explainations out there. I always liked to know the "whys". But sometimes with Weather you simply don't. Very complex.
For those that don't know, High pressures spin Clockwise so imagine those Highs out there spinning clockwise. One to the right is preventing Dorian from moving East. One to the left preventing it from moving West. And the wall (jet stream) is preventing it from moving North. Atmosphere is fluid and always moving so one of those will move out or weaken. It's gonna be the Jet and the Atlantic High.
Now imagine how models see all these features a week away. They can't because timing and strength change day by day. They picked up on the recurve 4 days ago but didn't pick up on a stall until I think 2 days ago.
1. Note the dry air pushing SOUTH! It's destroying the outer bands over Florida and even evaporating the rain
2. Note the outer bands getting pulled North, it's gonna want to move north any moment now.
3. Cuba getting the outer bands now, this thing grew. Picture a figure skater with arms in tight spinning fast then extending arms and slowing down. Dorian is extending and slowing down.
It is going downhill as it sits in the same place and brought up colder water. Just wished it would start moving at a forward speed of 15mph so i can get back to my normal T -storms.
Not much colder water on the Bank where it's been sitting, average water depth less than 20'.
And here's Euro GA thru NC:, Notice how inland effects may increase across SC into NC and parts of SE VA as the storm will be closer as well as likely spreading out its winds more as weakens and starts to make transition towards extra-tropical status. Again, about 40mph is where scattered here and there downed trees and power lines begin, 50-60mph you get more widespread, about 65-75mph you get two post gas station awnings come down (bad design).
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