U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Covid-19 Information Page
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 08-29-2019, 05:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,047 posts, read 57,425,808 times
Reputation: 13139

Advertisements

Current temps, Infrared and latest tracks for Dorian.


NHC in white has a Cat 3 miles off Vero Beach Monday 2am.
HWF model has a Cat 4.
TVCN a Cat 1.
GFS much north more and weaker



Copyright © 2019 Cambium
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 08-29-2019, 05:21 AM
 
17,243 posts, read 11,371,840 times
Reputation: 5771
Perfect track for me , but it will change.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 05:22 AM
 
4,944 posts, read 2,380,141 times
Reputation: 1688
Looks like some dry air got in overnight, a little ragged looking compared to earlier but appears to already be recovering and back to steady strengthening. Some wind shear affecting storm but that’ll subside this evening or early Friday and Dorian should be free to intensify or even rapidly intensify.

https://twitter.com/jacksillin/statu...23496305807363
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 06:10 AM
 
4,944 posts, read 2,380,141 times
Reputation: 1688
FYI: there’s no 8am or 2pm advisory today unless Watches posted for land which will likely be issued for portions of Bahamas and Florida later today. Protocol on advisories is issue at 5 & 11am/pmEDT, and if Watches/Warnings posted for land then add updates at 2 & 8am/pmEDT.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 07:03 AM
 
Location: Florida
13,174 posts, read 6,301,138 times
Reputation: 26866
Quote:
Originally Posted by floridarebel View Post
This is what's stressful about tracking these storms, is trying to figure out where the storm may go and how strong. Unfortunately all you can do is wait and see.
It's like being stalked by a turtle....
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 07:04 AM
aax
 
712 posts, read 290,058 times
Reputation: 551
It is going to penetrate Florida and go all the way across to the other side.
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 07:21 AM
 
4,944 posts, read 2,380,141 times
Reputation: 1688
Mid morning HWRF model just out, as usual “just one model, just one run, look for the trend & consistency in models, not the random jumps around”
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1167063925147557889
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 07:33 AM
 
4,944 posts, read 2,380,141 times
Reputation: 1688
Mid-morning 06z Euro out, and with a slower pace the High pressure ridge may have time to weaken allowing for turn North...but when??
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1167067219999768577
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 08:59 AM
 
4,944 posts, read 2,380,141 times
Reputation: 1688
Thurs 11aEDT: winds 85mph, moving NW 13mph, pressure 986mb. Strengthening forecasted through the weekend, NHC has Cat4 by Sunday. Just waiting for Friday’s turn back WNW when High pressure expected to build in North of the storm and a High’s clockwise flow would push Dorian more WNW (hurricanes are steered by other weather systems around them). Tropical Storm force winds possible by late Saturday night or Sunday evening coastal FL depending how fast the storm moves. Still uncertainty in track from early Sunday onward. Unless any coastal watches are issued, the next update from hurricane center won’t be until 5pm.

https://twitter.com/nhc_atlantic/sta...87670847139842
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-29-2019, 09:28 AM
 
1,951 posts, read 955,903 times
Reputation: 2570
Quote:
Originally Posted by aax View Post
It is going to penetrate Florida and go all the way across to the other side.

Does appear that way, could turn near Tampa though; and run up the big bend area:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eEUR9BWFOFY
Rate this post positively Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather > Hurricanes
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:09 PM.

© 2005-2020, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top