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Old 08-29-2019, 01:30 PM
aax
 
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`It's going to make it to 168 MPH winds. Amazing.
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Old 08-29-2019, 01:41 PM
 
Location: Cary, NC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aax View Post
`It's going to make it to 168 MPH winds. Amazing.
No, that's the timeline, not wind speed...168 hours from the start of the model run.
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Old 08-29-2019, 02:20 PM
 
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Nice break down of what the Euro ensemble (The 51 models that make up the Euro) are telling us:
https://twitter.com/jacksillin/statu...69543392911366
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Old 08-29-2019, 02:33 PM
 
1,080 posts, read 873,864 times
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Originally Posted by MrsD2015 View Post
Hi everybody! So, I know nothing about hurricanes, except the categories, but I'd like to know if we will be feeling very strong winds in the Miami-Homestead area? Will it affect us very bad? I am very nervous about this storm. Thanks.

There's one thing everyone needs to know about Hurricanes. Worry about water not wind. That's what causes 90% of the damage and casualties.

If I was in Miami, I would still be worried. There are still a significant number of models that show a more southerly track and those are also the models showing the highest intensity. The much more likely scenario is a track well North of you where winds shouldn't be a big issue. But, when you build a city on a porous piece of limestone, it doesn't take a direct hit for water to become a big issue.
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Old 08-29-2019, 03:33 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Nice break down of what the Euro ensemble (The 51 models that make up the Euro) are telling us:
Awesome annotations! Maroon text very important. Tomorrow we will know. If it makes the turn west sooner than expected and is a sharp turn then obviously southern Florida needs to be on alert. The longer or less sharp it takes to make that turn the safer southern Florida is
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Old 08-29-2019, 05:25 PM
 
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It's gonna be a flop for my area.
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Old 08-29-2019, 05:26 PM
 
17,163 posts, read 11,341,263 times
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Originally Posted by aax View Post
It is going to penetrate Florida and go all the way across to the other side.
I won't get that lucky.
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Old 08-29-2019, 05:28 PM
 
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Originally Posted by floridarebel View Post
It's emotionally exhausting. Whenever a hurricane is expected to make landfall, everything suddenly turns into chaos. An aura of anxiety prevails, there's this guessing games about where the storm will go or if it will even go where it's predicted, which in many cases, they don't. Often you don't know what happens until the day before and by then it's too late. No body knows what will happen and when.

In the olden days, before radars, people read barometers to keep track if a storm was coming. If the barometer suddenly started dropping, that usually meant a hurricane was on the way. Of course FL had far fewer people then.
Don't forget Home Depot and the news chans working together to make peeps buy stuff they never use.
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Old 08-29-2019, 05:29 PM
 
17,163 posts, read 11,341,263 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrsD2015 View Post
Hi everybody! So, I know nothing about hurricanes, except the categories, but I'd like to know if we will be feeling very strong winds in the Miami-Homestead area? Will it affect us very bad? I am very nervous about this storm. Thanks.
No.
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Old 08-29-2019, 06:26 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Its been 15yrs since. Great run considering its Florida

https://twitter.com/DaveCurren/statu...01180080123904
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