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Old 08-30-2019, 04:24 AM
 
Location: Florida
5,007 posts, read 1,408,001 times
Reputation: 3935

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Quote:
Originally Posted by elyn02 View Post
Hello, everyone. I am close to Fort Lauderdale. Has anyone here been in a major hurricane? I have a flight out to Houston on Saturday and was supposed to return Tuesday but can't decide whether to go without knowing if I can return. That's if the flight doesn't get cancelled on Saturday.

Anyway, I am afraid to sit through this hurricane.
I'm in the same boat as you. I live in the Indiantown area, but I am leaving for NC today and wasn't planning on coming back till Wednesday. I'm just going to go, and will pack my camping gear in case I need to camp somewhere if it gets trashed in Florida. But I know how you feel. I'm driving to NC, and I am wondering what is it going to be like for the drive back.

I also am leaving a ton of animals. I have people on my farm hunkered down in supposedly up to code buildings, and the barns are up to code, but out in Indiantown, it's not so much the wind we worry about, but the flooding, thanks to Lake O being right there.

But, I am driving, so I can travel at my leisure. See if you can rent a car in Houston, if not, then stay. My understanding is that the airlines are waving fees due to the hurricane, so you shouldn't lose money on the plane tickets.
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Old 08-30-2019, 04:38 AM
 
5,085 posts, read 2,241,671 times
Reputation: 4995
Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Better stay put. Once you leave the hood they may not allow you back in for days if there was any real damage. You should be south of the bad side of the storm and should be ok. Strongest winds are only 21 miles from the center of the storm.
Quote:
Originally Posted by warhorse78 View Post
I'm in the same boat as you. I live in the Indiantown area, but I am leaving for NC today and wasn't planning on coming back till Wednesday. I'm just going to go, and will pack my camping gear in case I need to camp somewhere if it gets trashed in Florida. But I know how you feel. I'm driving to NC, and I am wondering what is it going to be like for the drive back.

I also am leaving a ton of animals. I have people on my farm hunkered down in supposedly up to code buildings, and the barns are up to code, but out in Indiantown, it's not so much the wind we worry about, but the flooding, thanks to Lake O being right there.

But, I am driving, so I can travel at my leisure. See if you can rent a car in Houston, if not, then stay. My understanding is that the airlines are waving fees due to the hurricane, so you shouldn't lose money on the plane tickets.
Thanks, LKJ1988 and Warhorse78.
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Old 08-30-2019, 04:42 AM
Status: "Missing the high Sierras " (set 27 days ago)
 
Location: ☀️ SFL (hell for me-wife loves it)
3,483 posts, read 2,424,316 times
Reputation: 11096
Imho, Warhorse is offering the best advice. Especially with the storm centers shifting it more south. The airlines will offer you a return trip when it's safe at no extra expense. Just plan to spend an extra day or two in TX. Good luck elyn, you too Warhorse.
I've been through many a hurricane in my lifetime. They are no fun, and must be taken seriously.
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Old 08-30-2019, 04:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,115 posts, read 57,482,654 times
Reputation: 13154
Just to give an idea how far out the winds extend....

With the south shift over night, the latest info has Hurricane force (sustained) winds extending out 25 miles from the center and Tropical storm force 105 miles out.

* This will change in time but here is how far 25 and 105 miles is with a Jupiter landfall. It's not the Tropical storm force winds I worry about, it's that inner core especially a Cat3+.


** Don't forget as the storm hits land it will weaken but if it makes landfall as a Cat 3/4, hurricane force winds will be still with it as it moves north over Florida so points north will get those winds as well, not just the inner core.




That's wind... Here is the rainfall total forecast. If you're area gets flooded make plans...


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Old 08-30-2019, 04:48 AM
 
5,085 posts, read 2,241,671 times
Reputation: 4995
Quote:
Originally Posted by TerraDown View Post
Imho, Warhorse is offering the best advice. Especially with the storm centers shifting it more south. The airlines will offer you a return trip when it's safe at no extra expense. Just plan to spend an extra day or two in TX. Good luck elyn. I've been through many a hurricane in my lifetime. They are no fun, and must be taken seriously.
Thanks, TerraDown.

Also, Warhorse78, I left for the last hurricane. The worst part about the drive back down were all the downed trees in Central Florida. It was very congested in that area.
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Old 08-30-2019, 04:51 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,115 posts, read 57,482,654 times
Reputation: 13154
Hopefully this helps those not sure


https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/stat...91436208971776
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Old 08-30-2019, 04:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,115 posts, read 57,482,654 times
Reputation: 13154
Quote:
Originally Posted by elyn02 View Post
Also, Warhorse78, I left for the last hurricane. The worst part about the drive back down were all the downed trees in Central Florida. It was very congested in that area.

That's the hardest part IMO... Leaving but not being able to get back home due to closed roads, flooding, down trees, ect... I can't imagine that feeling, kinda why some people ride it out, at least they can see what's happening to their property and they don't have to spend money staying away from it.
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Old 08-30-2019, 05:08 AM
 
17,323 posts, read 11,401,221 times
Reputation: 5789
I would never leave my house and no one is gonna tell i can't come back.
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Old 08-30-2019, 05:09 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,115 posts, read 57,482,654 times
Reputation: 13154
Latest Hurricane model tracks... Florida landfall is imminent. You have 2-3 days to prepare. (technically had 7 days). Listen for evacuation orders if you're at the coast or low lying areas.

Source:




Intensity projection. According to this looks like landfall would be Monday afternoon. So it slowed down which is probably why the Cat 3-4 forecast now.

Each line represents each model and their forecast. Pretty much all of them get to Cat 3 status. Some take until tomorrow .

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Old 08-30-2019, 05:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,115 posts, read 57,482,654 times
Reputation: 13154
Disaster supply checklist. Have 7 days worth of supplies.

https://twitter.com/FLSERT/status/1166789060091887616
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