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Old 09-04-2019, 11:41 AM
 
Location: Murrica
4,142 posts, read 2,458,704 times
Reputation: 3452

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
That's somewhat misleading. That parking garage is always like that when it rains hard. Strangely, it's on the north end of IoP and seems to always get the brunt of storms. Builders tried to make modifications after the fact and the state wouldn't let them. This is a picture taken at or near high tide. I walk that area frequently. https://www.google.com/maps/@32.8123...!3m1!1e3?hl=en

Beach cams from the middle of IoP: https://the-windjammer.com/surf-camera/

There were guys playing volleyball an hour ago.
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Old 09-04-2019, 11:59 AM
 
942 posts, read 254,829 times
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I'm amazed they can predict that hard turn it made.
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Old 09-04-2019, 12:00 PM
 
32,134 posts, read 50,389,968 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by m1a1mg View Post
That's somewhat misleading. That parking garage is always like that when it rains hard. Strangely, it's on the north end of IoP and seems to always get the brunt of storms. Builders tried to make modifications after the fact and the state wouldn't let them. This is a picture taken at or near high tide. I walk that area frequently. https://www.google.com/maps/@32.8123...!3m1!1e3?hl=en

Beach cams from the middle of IoP: https://the-windjammer.com/surf-camera/

There were guys playing volleyball an hour ago.
For people who don’t know the area though it is an eye-catching, threatening photo though...
And it could have been taken at some time in the past during another storm and making its way around the Internet like it is “new” news...
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Old 09-04-2019, 12:03 PM
 
32,134 posts, read 50,389,968 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by james112 View Post
I'm amazed they can predict that hard turn it made.
Hurricanes can be influenced by neighboring weather patterns—highs and lows w/winds from different directions
It is like 4D chess with time as an added factor....
One reason why there are different future paths from the various services is that different algorhythms take into account outside weather systems to greater or lesser degrees

And here again, the inner strength of the hurricane has lot to do with its vulnerability to other weather systems
And its timing/speed is impacted by the geography of the area it is around

There was a serious hurricane probably 10 yrs ago that was headed up the WEST coast of FL
Predicted to come onshore around Venice south of SRQ but it was sucked up the Port Charlotte harbor and made landfall there instead
Different speed and timing and it might have blown past...
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Old 09-04-2019, 12:26 PM
 
4,957 posts, read 2,392,263 times
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Dorian feeling a little rejuvenated after bathing in the warm gulf stream waters, healthier but not stronger right now, pressure not dropping so not expecting much change in strength at the moment, will watch this evening for any changes:

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1169313712672563200
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Old 09-04-2019, 12:27 PM
 
4,957 posts, read 2,392,263 times
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NHC has raised surge from Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach, SC to 5 to 8ft of surge.
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Old 09-04-2019, 12:35 PM
 
Location: Murrica
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
NHC has raised surge from Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach, SC to 5 to 8ft of surge.
They said 8 feet for Matthew too.

The Windjammer beach cam has a view north to the pier. Watch that for a realistic view of the tides.
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Old 09-04-2019, 01:15 PM
 
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Passing Jacksonville, FL now, moving NNW 9mph:
https://twitter.com/weathersources/s...28118714290178
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:33 PM
 
Location: Southwest Florida
4,810 posts, read 12,884,133 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by loves2read View Post
Thank you for your kind words
Maybe I did over react
Part of my angst is about Puerto Rico that still is dealing with the aftereffects of its last hurricane

And yes there are relief efforts underway
But I can still remember the line of WalMart, Lowes, and utility electric trucks lined up outside Irma’s path waiting to come to the relief of Floridians as soon as they were allowed to move south...

People in the Caribbean know how to deal with hurricanes
But Dorian was a step above
More damage, harder recovery...

I was in PR in May. No, they have not recovered; it's not Philadelphia & it's not sunny. The west coast of FL was hit every weekend back in 2004. Due to late weather patterns, September through October has become the standard. I've been on this coast for almost 30 years and have never seen anything like Dorian on the east coast since Andrew. I have family that went through Hugo on Isle of Palms; it changed the history books ~
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:59 PM
 
4,957 posts, read 2,392,263 times
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5p - Not surprising given its improving structure this afternoon, aircraft recon finds winds a tad stronger at 110mph (was 105mph). No giant swings in winds expected though.
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