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Thurs 12Sept2019 5pEDT/2pPDT: Tropical Storm Kiko forms, the 11th named storm of the 2019 East Pacific Hurricane season. On average the 11th named storm genesis date is Sept 10th.
Estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving WNW 12mph(19km/h), pressure 1004mb. Located about 495miles(795km) SSW of S tip of Baja.
Heading out to sea, Hurricane possible by this weekend, then weakens early next week.
Official updates are released by the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) every 6 hours at 5 & 11am/pmEDT (2 & 8am/pmPDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
Fri 13Sept2019 11pEDT/8pPDT: Estimated winds 50mph(85km/h), moving WNW 9mph(15km/h), pressure 1001mb. Located about 575miles(930km) SW of S tip of Baja. Dry air entangling into the storm slowed strengthening rate but it's blocked it off for now. Dry air ahead to its North and West.
Sat 14Sept2019 5pEDT/2pPDT: Estimated winds 85mph(140km/h), moving W 12mph(19km/h), pressure 985mb. Located about 730miles(1175km) WSW of S tip of Baja. Rapidly intensifying. Eye quickly appeared today. Expected to continue to intensify another 12-24hrs then start weakening trend.
Sat 14Sept2019 11pEDT/8pPDT: Estimated winds 115mph(185km/h), moving W 9mph(15km/h), pressure 966mb. Located about 775miles(1250km) WSW of S tip of Baja. Cat3 hurricane now.
Sun 15Sept2019 5aEDT/2aPDT: Estimated winds 125mph(205km/h), moving W 8mph(13km/h), pressure 954mb. Strong Cat3, has rest of the day to strengthen further then weakening begins.
Mon 16Sept 5aEDT/2aPDT/11pSun HST: Estimated winds 115mph(185km/h), moving W 6mph(9km/h), pressure 963mb. Expected weakening trend underway. Track has been shifting further South last few updates but currently no threat to Hawaii.
Tue 17Sept 5pEDT/2pPDT/11aHST: Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving WSW 5mph(7km/h), pressure 995mb. Continues to weaken currently. Kiko has moved further South which keeps it over warmer waters and now the NHC thinks it'll restrengthen to a hurricane or back and forth Hurricane / Tropical Storm late this week through the weekend as it meanders around overall Westward. By end of the weekend models are split on killing the system off or intensifying hurricane. So Kiko may be around longer than anticipated.
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