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Old 09-17-2019, 07:55 PM
 
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Tue 17Sept2019 5pEDT/2pPDT: Invest 91E became Tropical Depression 14, now Tropical Storm Mario. On average the 13th named storm genesis date is Sept 28th.

Estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving NW 10mph(17km/h), pressure 1006mb. Well SW of Mexico at 735miles(1,185km) S of S tip of Baja. Should stay well offshore riding generally parallel to Mexico, gradually strengthening.

Official updates are released by the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) every 6 hours at 5 & 11am/pmEDT (2 & 8a/pPDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac


https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...39471111102464
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Old 09-18-2019, 05:33 PM
 
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Wed 18Sept2019 5pEDT/2pPDT: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving NW 10mph(17km/h), pressure 998mb. Located about 560miles(900km) SSW of S tip of Baja. Storm has gotten smaller which makes it prone to sudden changes up/down in intensity. Undergoing some wind shear from the outflow of it's big sister Lorena right near by (tropical systems don't like being near each other). NHC says Mario's future hinges on what Lorena's strength is next few days.
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Old 09-18-2019, 09:10 PM
 
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Wed 18Sept2019 11pEDT/8pPDT: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving NW 10mph(17km/h), pressure 998mb. Located about 540miles(870km) SSW of S tip of Baja. Track shifted East some to reflect more possible influence/interaction with nearby Lorena.
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Old 09-19-2019, 07:36 PM
 
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Thurs 19Sept2019 5pEDT/2pPDT: Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving NE 10mph(17km/h), pressure 999mb. Located about 400miles(645km) S of S tip of Baja. Track shifted East again, under influence from nearby Lorena which is shearing Mario preventing much intensification.
https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...59739987156993
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Old 09-20-2019, 05:18 AM
 
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Fri 20Sept 5aEDT/2aPDT: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving NNE 5mph(7km/h), pressure 994mb.
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Old 09-20-2019, 07:08 PM
 
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Fri 20Sept 5pEDT/2pPDT: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving N 3mph(6km/h), pressure 992mb.
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Old 09-21-2019, 06:56 AM
 
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Sat 21Sept 5aEDT/2aPDT: Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving N 5mph(7km/h), pressure 995mb. Mario not looking healthy on satellite imagery overnight, but does have another recent flareup of storms again. Should overall start weakening trend as heads N / NW, likely dissipates early to mid week.
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Old 09-21-2019, 09:15 AM
 
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Sat 21Sept 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 50mph(85km/h), moving NNW 5mph(7km/h), pressure 998mb.
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Old 09-21-2019, 05:13 PM
 
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Sat 21Sept 5PEDT/2PPDT: Estimated winds 45mph(75km/h), moving N 5mph(7km/h), pressure 1001mb.
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Old 09-22-2019, 11:34 AM
 
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Sun 22Sept 11aEDT/8aPDT: Estimated winds 35mph(55km/h), moving NNW 10mph(17km/h), pressure 1005mb. Tropical Depression, likely remnant Low pressure shortly.
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