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07-21-2020, 10:38 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
Reputation: 1728
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Tue 21July 11pEDT/AST,10pCDT,5pHST
Atlantic:
-Invest "91L" in Gulf 40% chance development between now & Friday before coming ashore TX/LA region, regardless of last minute development potential big story is heavy scattered rains coming with it.
-Invest "99L" became TD7 heading towards Lesser Antilles. Tiny system, so hard to predict intensity, prone to sudden changes up/down. Lot of variables in what will become of it next few days, Levi points those out in his vid tonight: https://youtu.be/42v3RvN0rbg but not a lot of support for it to survive too far past Lesser Antilles at this time.
-Models picking up on potential longer track Cape Verde storm for next week, may be one to watch.
E Pac:
-TD7E gone
-See Douglas thread.
-Area S of Mexico 30% chance development. |
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07-22-2020, 07:16 AM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
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23July Wed 5a: TD7 to be named shortly...from NHC’s 5a discussion: “I prefer to wait for consensus 35-kt estimates before naming the system, but it seems very likely that we will have Gonzalo over the tropical Atlantic very soon.”
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07-22-2020, 08:04 AM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
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And TD7 becomes Tropical Storm Gonzalo about 1,250miles(2,010km) East of the Windward Islands .
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07-22-2020, 12:02 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
Reputation: 1728
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07-22-2020, 09:24 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
Reputation: 1728
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Wed 22July evening:
91L in central Gulf high 90% chance development. Tropical Storm Watches/Warnings may go up for parts of TX and/or LA tonight or Thursday. Hurricane Hunter plane checking it out this evening. Low level circulation appears broad, not as tight as you'd like to see in a storm, and winds 20-30mph. Tropical Depression status possible maybe Thur/Fri. Could see it get named just before landfall. Models have trended a little more South with center heading towards central/South Texas. Regardless of classification, rain is the story, models going with potential for 1-3+" coastal LA and TX with higher amounts where center travels but that will also depend on storm structure later this week. Flooding potential is the main focus regardless what becomes of it.
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07-22-2020, 09:59 PM
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5,240 posts, read 2,563,175 times
Reputation: 1728
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Wed 22July 11pEDT/AST,10pCDT:
91L becomes TD8, winds 30mph(45km/h), moving WNW 6mph(9km/h), pressure 1009mb. TS Watch Texas coast from Port Mansfield to High Island. NHC has 2-4" rain, isolated 6" TX and LA coast and inland S/Central TX & Rio Grande Valley. NHC has a 40-45mph Tropical Storm landfalling into TX coast Sat.
https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...35886548275200
Last edited by Psychoma; 07-22-2020 at 10:08 PM..
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07-23-2020, 06:03 AM
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Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,032 posts, read 58,591,658 times
Reputation: 13397
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07-23-2020, 06:10 AM
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18,488 posts, read 12,113,209 times
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Not enough time and too close to any land to get anything near strong. As always loving away from FL.
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07-23-2020, 06:50 AM
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Location: Near the Coast SWCT
75,032 posts, read 58,591,658 times
Reputation: 13397
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