2020 Hurricane Season (General Thread) (sprinkle, normal, map, rainy)

[Cambium]

That latitude is always a threat for the U.S.

[Psychoma]

Sun 26July morning:
-Little area off East FL may have to watch to see if tries anything in coming days, but for now NHC is not labeling it for any tropical development potential, just mentioning in case they give it a low chance rating in the next day or two.
-92L crossing the Atlantic high 90% chance develops. High confidence tracks near Northeast Caribbean this week. Low confidence thereafter with models diverging greatly. Some models take it to Mexico, Gulf of Mexico, over the islands, US East coast or safely out to sea. Too early to know just yet. High pressure over Atlantic steers it West, but then questions on where that High is and if it tries to pull storm up or not and approaching cold front will be another player in the mix. Just too early and a week from now it's still near Northern Caribbean. Stay tuned.

[Cambium]

Using the center location of the current storm in the Atlantic, graphic shows all Tropical Depressions that were located within 100 miles and their future tracks.



https://twitter.com/AMSweather/status/1287502211753312257/photo/2

[Cambium]

https://twitter.com/JackSillin/statu...26180678250497

[LKJ1988]

No chance for FL.

[LKJ1988]

Just like the last system there is too much dry air aloft and the upper levels won't favor it down the road. So don't expect a blow up to anything real at all. Without good exhaust and outflow there is just no chance.

[Psychoma]

Mon 27July evening: 92L is large, will take some time to spin up if it does. NHC has 80% chance and regardless of formation says scattered rains and breezy conditions likely for Leeward Islands Wednesday, then Virgin Islands / Puerto Rico Wed PM / Thurs.

[LKJ1988]

If it goes east of FL then sinking air on the west side will dry us out even more. Hope whatever it is can bring us more rain since we have had a dry summer.

[Psychoma]

Tue 28 July 8aEDT:
92L approaching Lesser Antilles (East Caribbean). Almost too large area wise for its own good, makes it harder and take longer to form. But it’s producing scattered showers and near Tropical Storm Force winds. Aircraft recon will check it out this afternoon to see what we got and Tropical Storm Watch/Warnings may be posted for the islands later today.

[Psychoma]

And 92L becomes PTC9 - Potential Tropical Cyclone 9, advisories begin at 11aEDT/AST. PTC a way to initiate advisories, cone map, Tropical Watch/Warnings before a storm is named to start getting info out.