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Old 07-29-2020, 06:04 AM
 
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Wed 29July morning: PTC9 is basically a very robust tropical wave, elongated areas of disorganized scattered showers with stronger winds on the North side, calmer towards the South, no defined center yet. Very heavy rain maker at the moment. The faster movement, and further South then originally anticipated now likely means storm gets disrupted by the high mountains of Hispaniola at some point. Still questions on how it tries to form next 24 hours and land interaction as well and where a center actually forms and where storm tracks. Wind shear awaits it after as well depending where it goes. NHC "Simply put, there are a lot of hurdles in the system's way, so it is best to stay on the conservative side at the moment and continue to stress the large uncertainty after it leaves the Caribbean"
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Old 07-29-2020, 06:13 AM
 
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No chance of it getting strong. Forward speed is wrong, upper levels are wrong and land mass's are all wrong for this system.
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Old 07-29-2020, 07:02 AM
 
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Here’s regional radar of Lesser Antilles thanks to Barbados met service:
https://www.barbadosweather.org/Comp...pes=1581390924
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Old 07-29-2020, 09:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/stat...267700225?s=19

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Old 07-29-2020, 12:03 PM
 
Location: Inland FL
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Won't do much due to shear and dry air. It's still late July but if it were 2-4 weeks away, the storm would likely turn into something major.
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Old 07-29-2020, 12:30 PM
 
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Wed 29July 120pEDT/AST: Those stronger winds on the northern side coming through Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands and others in NE Caribbean with wind gust 30-50+mph in heavier rain bands. Don’t need a name for impacts.
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Old 07-29-2020, 05:53 PM
 
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Not gonna get anything out of this one for my area.
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Old 07-29-2020, 06:08 PM
 
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Wed 29July early evening: Basically still a waiting game. We'll know a lot more Thursday into Friday. Possibly named within next 24hours. Interaction with Hispaniola will be known more tomorrow and we'll have better idea of what we're dealing with and where may go Thursday into Friday. Nothing is pointing to a major hurricane, but Tropical Storm or perhaps Hurricane still on the table in the next few days right now.

Tropical Tidbits has a good video out this evening breaking things down on where may go, how strong, things for/against the storm, etc:

https://youtu.be/2zha7MVhr5k
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Old 07-29-2020, 06:43 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Canadian and Euro model have a lot of rain and wind here. GFS starting to come around.

https://twitter.com/RaleighWx/status...721876992?s=19

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Old 07-29-2020, 09:52 PM
 
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PTC9 becomes Tropical Storm Isaias.
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