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Watching the waves come off of Africa and develop into Cape Verde storms bring back memories of my years in Florida. Always had to be mindful of what was forming way out there as some of those were downright nasty.
We are approaching the average peak of hurricane season and it shows!
Atlantic:
-"92L" in central Atlantic high 90% chance formation, for now most guidance turns out to sea, but that's not a guarantee.
-Area emerging off Africa high 80% chance, looks to follow right behind 92L.
-Area in Caribbean just S of Hispaniola 10% chance as heads West.
-Area just SE of Bermuda 20% chance as heads generally towards the Carolina's.
--Not a lot of model guidance support for those last 2 but regardless of development both look to help draw tropical moisture up from Caribbean and along US East coast / SE mid-late this coming week. https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/sta...80326619807745
Sun 6Sept 11pEDT: 92L in central Atlantic becomes Tropical Depression 17 with 35mph winds. Slow steady strengthening forecast. NHC says in weak steering flow so barely moving and it's possible invest 93L along coast of Africa starts to interact with it later this week which complicates future track possibilities. For now looks to stay NE of the Caribbean but it's a wait and see at the moment. https://twitter.com/NWSEastern/statu...04280089481216
With the exception of Laura, most of the storms that have formed have been weak.
They have all been duds at best. Upper levels are wrong this year and too much dry air aloft. Looks like another dead year for my part of FL unless something boils up west of Cuba and moves northeast.
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