2020 Hurricane Season (General Thread) (comparison, versus, days, storms)

[Psychoma]

Sun 20Sept morning:
Atlantic:
-Instead of loops Paulette remnants now look to head East towards Straits of Gibraltar / Portugal, 60% chance re-formation, but basically quick moving rain maker.
-Little low pressure meso-vortex developed just offshore of Melbourne, FL last night, was rated at 10% chance but appears to have dissipated. Radar overnight showed it: https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1307565601381068800
-Otherwise quiet.

E Pac:
93L well W of Mexico 90% chance, out to sea.

C Pac: quiet

[Psychoma]

Nice spin over FL heading towards the Eastern Gulf, not really any model support but that’s a solid spin going:
https://twitter.com/jacksillin/statu...19500779991044

[Psychoma]

Mon 21Sept evening:
Atlantic:
-ex-Paulette in NE Atlantic looks to have caught up with it's wind sheared storms, so now high 80% chance re-formation.
-Area rounding S tip of FL towards the Gulf low 10% chance.

E Pac: 93L became TS Lowell.




Edit: And Paulette re-forms, see that thread for details.

[Cambium]

https://twitter.com/Sean_Breslin/sta...17967344975876

[Psychoma]

Wed evening: All quiet!
For the future models hint at watching the Western Caribbean / Yucatan / Cuba region in another week or so, maybe another wave off Africa as well.

[Psychoma]

Sun evening, 27Sept:
Atlantic:
-Tropical wave entering E Caribbean currently 20% chance formation next 5-days when gets in NW Caribbean towards end of week. Majority of models showing some sort of chance of formation

In October the overall steering pattern changes and we see more North/NE movement of storms (TX/LA not out of woods rest of season but historically chances start to drop off).

E Pac: Area well SW of Mexico high 90% chance formation as heads out to sea.

[Psychoma]

Mon evening, 28Sept:
Atlantic: NW Caribbean region 50% chance formation late this week / weekend.
E Pac: Invest "94E" well of W Mexico 90% chance. May eventually turn north well out at sea could eventually add moisture to WA/OR or even parts of CA late next week (but that far out a lot can change).

[Huasho]

A Miami Citizen since 1988, a SURVIVOR right in the middle of Andrew's Path..Every Season that comes by, more and more calamities are forecasted and less and less happen.

Happy camper but USED by now to the Media being so out in left Field when it comes to the Hurricane Season for Us.

This was to be a BANNER year for Storms and UPGRAGED even HIGHER in the middle of the Season. Glad they are all full of MALARKEY trying to sell FEAR, Publix Surpertmarkets and Home Depot Pressed Wood.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by Huasho

A Miami Citizen since 1988, a SURVIVOR right in the middle of Andrew's Path..Every Season that comes by, more and more calamities are forecasted and less and less happen.

Happy camper but USED by now to the Media being so out in left Field when it comes to the Hurricane Season for Us.

This was to be a BANNER year for Storms and UPGRAGED even HIGHER in the middle of the Season. Glad they are all full of MALARKEY trying to sell FEAR, Publix Surpertmarkets and Home Depot Pressed Wood.

No luck this year for any action.

Could be a boil up south of Cuba next week. Give anything if it would become a Cat1 and come my way. But shear is not on it's side and i see a 3% chance i get any action out of it.

[Psychoma]

Tue evening, 29Sept:
-NW Caribbean 60% chance.
-Invest 94e became TS Marie in E Pacific.